Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+134) Braves (-145)
Truist Park is the venue where Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (35-23, 1st in NL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (22-36, 5th in AL East) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox priced at +134 and the Braves are at -145. The over/under opens at 10. The starting pitchers will be Nick Pivetta and Bryse Wilson.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
9/26/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2020 Domingo Tapia RP Biceps Out for the season
9/23/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Out for the season
9/22/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Out for the season
9/19/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Out for the season
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
9/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2020 Huascar Ynoa SP Finger Out for the season
9/23/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 22-36 overall record this season. Pivetta (20-30 career record) holds a FIP of 4.63 while he has gone up against 1,749 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.45 (243 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.434. He has allowed 424 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 151 free passes. Pivetta has taken the hill for 401 frames and has tallied 429 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.94 and they have given up 311 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 301 hitters and walked 136 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.75. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 574 base hits and 323 earned runs. They have allowed 96 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 244 batters and struck out 515. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.62 and their FIP as a unit is 5.24.
As a team Boston is hitting .264, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .354. He has 51 hits this season in 183 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .432 and an OPS+ of 111. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 57 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 196 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .485. The Red Sox have 529 hits, including 115 doubles and 75 home runs. Boston has walked 177 times so far this season and they have struck out 522 times as a unit. They have left 404 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 275 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 35-23 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Wilson has conceded 47 base hits while tallying 35 strikeouts in 39 frames. He has surrendered 27 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.786 and a FIP of 5.6. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.52 and he has faced 183 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Wilson (3-1 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 6.20 earned run average while giving up 10.8 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 263 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 471 base knocks and 245 earned runs this season. They have given up 63 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 210 hitters and struck out 483 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .488 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .341 with an OBP of .461. He has 71 hits this year along with 53 RBI in 208 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .644 with an OPS+ of 186. Dansby Swanson is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 63 hits in 230 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .457. The Braves as a unit have 543 base hits, including 128 doubles and 101 homers. Atlanta has walked 231 times this year and they have struck out on 551 occasions. They have had 420 men left on base and have an OPS of .839. They have scored 5.95 runs per game and totaled 345 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves (-145)
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