Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, August 23, 2020
Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD
TV: NESN/MASN
Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (-109) Orioles (-101)
Mitch Moreland and the Boston Red Sox (9-18, 5th in AL East) go to Oriole Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (12-14, 4th in AL East). The Orioles open this contest at -101 while the Red Sox are priced at -109. The over/under has been set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zack Godley and Wade LeBlanc.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/13/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/21/2020 Austin Hays CF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/21/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/18/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
8/8/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 9-18 overall record this season. Godley has taken the mound for 555 frames and is sitting with 532 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.75 (293 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.377. He has allowed 539 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 225 free passes. Godley (37-32 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.23 while he has faced 2,399 hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.75 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 143 hitters and walked 57 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.97. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 260 base hits and 156 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 112 batters and struck out 232. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.58 and their FIP as a unit is 5.35.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Boston is hitting .256, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Mitch Moreland is hitting .360 with an on-base percentage of .448. He has 18 hits this season in 50 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .840 and an OPS+ of 234. J.D. Martinez is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 22 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 95 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Red Sox have 238 hits, including 53 doubles and 33 home runs. Boston has walked 78 times so far this season and they have struck out 248 times as a unit. They have left 179 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 125 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
LeBlanc (46-47 career record) has a 4.54 ERA while surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.42 and he has faced 3,754 hitters in his career. Thus far in his career, LeBlanc has given up 920 base hits while totaling 642 strikeouts in 881 innings. He has conceded 445 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.345 and having a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 102 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 122 batters and walked 50 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.99. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 222 base knocks and 128 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 78 hitters and struck out 214 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.58.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 5th in the league. The Orioles hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Dwight Smith Jr comes into this matchup batting .222 with an OBP of .306. He has 14 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 63 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .365 with an OPS+ of 84. Anthony Santander is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 31 hits in 106 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 164 and a slugging percentage of .660. The Orioles as a unit have 230 base hits, including 52 doubles and 39 homers. Baltimore has walked 79 times this year and they have struck out on 214 occasions. They have had 171 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 129 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-109)
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Additional Resources:
Baltimore Orioles - Twitter
Boston Red Sox - Twitter