Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/16/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins
Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2020
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+139) Marlins (-150)
Marlins Park is the venue where Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (24-21, 2nd in NL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (17-31, 5th in AL East) on Wednesday. The Red Sox open this matchup at +139 while the Marlins are coming in at -150. The O/U opens at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Chris Mazza and Trevor Rogers.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
9/11/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/11/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/7/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
9/14/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/14/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Probable for Sep 15
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Jon Berti 2B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/12/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/10/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 17-31 overall record this season. Mazza (2-2 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 165 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.73 (23 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.662. He has given up 46 hits (11.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 14 free passes. Mazza has taken the hill for 36 frames and has tallied 32 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.08 and they have given up 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 253 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.12. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 478 base hits and 281 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 207 batters and struck out 414. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.66 and their FIP as a unit is 5.48.
As a team Boston is hitting .264, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .205 with an on-base percentage of .287. He has 33 hits this season in 161 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .360 and an OPS+ of 72. Rafael Devers is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 180 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Red Sox have 435 hits, including 95 doubles and 66 home runs. Boston has walked 139 times so far this season and they have struck out 431 times as a unit. They have left 326 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 224 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 24-21 overall mark this year. Rogers (1-1 mark) has earned a 6.50 earned run average while giving up 9.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.25 and he has gone up against 83 batters. Rogers has given up 19 hits and he has 26 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.500 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 173 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 136 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 371 base knocks and 199 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 166 hitters and struck out 338 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 5.16.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Marlins hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .274 with an OBP of .378. He has 40 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 146 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .452 with an OPS+ of 126. Starling Marte is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 55 hits in 182 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .467. The Marlins as a unit have 359 base hits, including 67 doubles and 44 homers. Miami has walked 150 times this year and they have struck out on 408 occasions. They have had 293 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They have scored 4.51 runs per game and totaled 203 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins (-150)
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