Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/29/2020

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: NESN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+170) Mets (-200)

The Boston Red Sox visit Citi Field on Wednesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Nathan Eovaldi for the Red Sox and Jacob deGrom for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +170 and New York at -200. 

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/27/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/27/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/26/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

7/27/2020 Eduardo Nunez 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/27/2020 Jared Hughes RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/25/2020 Brad Brach RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/22/2020 Marcus Stroman SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/22/2020 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/20/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Walker Lockett RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi had a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 5.99 and a WHIP of 1.58. He had 70 strikeouts over his 67.2 innings pitched and he gave up 72 hits. He allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5.9. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 599 base hits on the year. Teams hit .235 against the bullpen while striking out 776 hitters and walking 324 batters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They were 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Red Sox pitchers collectively gave up 1,423 base hits and 768 earned runs last year. They allowed 215 home runs last season, ranking them 18th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff walked 605 batters and struck out 1,633. They walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit was 4.28.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston hit .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox held a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which was good for 3rd in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jackie Bradley Jr hit .225 with an on-base percentage of .317 last year. He had 111 hits last season in 494 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 90. J.D. Martinez hit .304 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .383. He totaled 175 hits and he drove in 105 men in 575 at bats. His OPS+ was 140 while his slugging percentage was at .557. The Red Sox had 1,554 hits last season, including 345 doubles and 245 home runs. Boston walked 590 times last year and they struck out 1,382 times as a unit. They left 1,170 men on base and had a team OPS of .806. They scored 5.56 runs per contest and scored a total of 901 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

With an earned run average of 2.43, Jacob deGrom had a 11-8 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He had 255 strikeouts over the 204 innings he pitched. He also gave up 154 hits. He allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 2.67. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.99 and they gave up 517 base hits on the year. Teams hit .255 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers struck out 556 batters and walked 227 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They were 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Mets pitchers as a team surrendered 1,405 base knocks and 688 earned runs last season. They gave up 204 home runs last year, which ranked 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff walked 500 hitters and struck out 1,520 batters. They gave up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.30 while their FIP as a staff was 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets held a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup after batting .257 with an OBP of .363 last season. He had 141 hits last year along with 92 RBI in 549 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .494 with an OPS+ of 128. Amed Rosario hit .287 last season and he had an OBP of .323. He collected 177 hits in 616 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He had an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .432. The Mets as a unit had 1,445 base hits last season, including 280 doubles and 242 homers. New York walked 516 times last year and they struck out on 1,384 occasions. They left 1,128 men on base and had an OPS of .770. They scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 791 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (+170)

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