Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/30/2020

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, July 30, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+140) Mets (-162)

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (1-4, 5th in AL East) head to Citi Field on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Mets (3-2, 2nd in NL East). The Red Sox open this matchup at +140 while the Mets are coming in at -162. The O/U is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Martin Perez and Steven Matz.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/29/2020 Xander Bogaerts SS Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/28/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/27/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/26/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

7/27/2020 Jared Hughes RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/27/2020 Eduardo Nunez 2B Knee Probable for Jul 29
7/25/2020 Brad Brach RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/22/2020 Marcus Stroman SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/22/2020 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/20/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Walker Lockett RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

Perez has taken the mound for 931 frames and has accumulated 599 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.74 (490 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.487. He has given up 1,046 hits (10.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 339 walks. Perez (53-57 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.53 while he has gone up against 4,075 batters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.91 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 28 hitters and walked 8 batters. As a team, Boston allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 6. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 47 base hits and 30 earned runs. They have allowed 7 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 17 batters and struck out 38. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.77.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .285, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 10.2 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 5 hits this season in 20 at bats with 3 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .350 and an OPS+ of 92. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .444 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .500. He has totaled 8 hits and he has driven in 3 men in 18 at bats. His OPS+ is 189 while his slugging percentage is at .556. The Red Sox have 51 hits, including 14 doubles and 5 home runs. Boston has walked 11 times so far this season and they have struck out 37 times as a unit. They have left 34 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 5.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 26 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Matz (31-36 career mark) has earned a 4.02 earned run average while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.06 and he has faced 2,359 hitters during his pro baseball career. During his MLB career, Matz has surrendered 545 base hits while he has totaled 523 strikeouts in 555 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 248 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.290 and a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.64 and they have given up 24 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 21 batters and walked 4 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 46 base knocks and 24 earned runs this season. They have given up 8 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 12 hitters and struck out 44 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 11th in the league. The Mets hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .286. He has 6 hits this year along with 3 RBI in 21 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .381 with an OPS+ of 90. Michael Conforto is hitting .375 this season and he has an OBP of .474. He has collected 6 hits in 16 at bats while driving in 2 runs. He has an OPS+ of 213 and a slugging percentage of .625. The Mets as a unit have 42 base hits, including 8 doubles and 5 homers. New York has walked 11 times this year and they have struck out on 42 occasions. They have had 37 men left on base and have an OPS of .695. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 20 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (-162)

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