Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/13/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: NESN/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+192) Rays (-210)

Tropicana Field is the site where Willy Adames and the Tampa Bay Rays (29-16, 1st in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (16-30, 5th in AL East) on Sunday. The Rays open this contest at -210 while the Red Sox are priced at +192. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Martin Perez and Charlie Morton.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/11/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/11/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/7/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/12/2020 Kevin Kiermaier CF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/11/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/10/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 16-30 overall record this season. Perez has thrown 974 frames and has earned 628 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.70 (509 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.478. He has allowed 1,078 base hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 361 walks. Perez (55-60 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.57 while he has faced 4,249 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.16 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 238 hitters and walked 113 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.23. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 463 base hits and 274 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 202 batters and struck out 389. They have walked 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.68 and their FIP as a unit is 5.55.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .341. He has 45 hits this season in 160 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .519 and an OPS+ of 125. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 37 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 141 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .426. The Red Sox have 417 hits, including 92 doubles and 62 home runs. Boston has walked 136 times so far this season and they have struck out 415 times as a unit. They have left 315 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 4.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 214 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 29-16 overall mark this year. During his career, Morton has conceded 1,384 hits while totaling 1,258 K's in 1,425 frames. He has surrendered 646 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.333 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.44 and he has gone up against 6,136 opposing hitters so far in his career. Morton (92-89 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.08 ERA while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 203 batters and walked 73 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.8. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 369 base knocks and 168 earned runs this season. They have given up 54 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 136 hitters and struck out 414 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 20th in the league. The Rays hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Willy Adames comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .373. He has 39 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 135 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .519 with an OPS+ of 145. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .227 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 25 hits in 110 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .382. The Rays as a unit have 359 base hits, including 88 doubles and 62 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out on 439 occasions. They have had 313 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 5.04 runs per game and totaled 227 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rays (-210)

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