Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 8/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals
Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2020
Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO
Odds/Point Spread: Reds (-116) Royals (-104)
Ryan O'Hearn and the Kansas City Royals (9-14, 5th in AL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (9-11, 4th in NL Central) at Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday. The Royals open this matchup at -104 while the Reds are coming in at -116. The total has been set at 9. The men taking the mound are Luis Castillo and Brad Keller.
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
8/16/2020 Robert Stephenson RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/16/2020 Mike Moustakas 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/13/2020 Wade Miley SP Undisclosed Probable for Aug 18
8/11/2020 Pedro Strop RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
7/31/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
8/18/2020 Salvador Perez C Eye Probable for Aug 18
8/16/2020 Jake Junis SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/16/2020 Daniel Tillo RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2020 Foster Griffin RP Elbow Out for the season
8/12/2020 Randy Rosario RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/10/2020 Franchy Cordero RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
8/8/2020 Mike Montgomery SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/8/2020 Nick Heath CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/7/2020 Glenn Sparkman RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/16/2020 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Reds have a 9-11 overall record this season. Castillo has taken the hill for 472 innings and has earned 520 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.70 (194 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.173. He has conceded 386 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 168 free passes. Castillo (28-29 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.87 while he has gone up against 1,949 batters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.23 and they have given up 56 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .182 against the bullpen and they've struck out 94 hitters and walked 37 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 12 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 136 base hits and 82 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 72 batters and struck out 230. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 12 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team Cincinnati is hitting .220, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.0 hits per game. Jesse Winker is hitting .365 with an on-base percentage of .484. He has 19 hits this season in 52 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .712 and an OPS+ of 215. Tucker Barnhart is hitting .167 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .189. He has totaled 6 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 36 at bats. His OPS+ is 23 while his slugging percentage is at .278. The Reds have 140 hits, including 30 doubles and 33 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 84 times so far this season and they have struck out 170 times as a unit. They have left 128 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 91 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Kansas City has a 9-14 overall mark this year. Keller (18-20 record in his career) has earned a 3.56 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.82 and he has faced 1,334 batters in his pro baseball career. During his career, Keller has surrendered 292 hits while he has accumulated 228 strikeouts in 316 innings. He has given up a total of 125 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.319 and a FIP of 4.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 104 batters and walked 39 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 180 base knocks and 87 earned runs this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 80 hitters and struck out 196 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.75.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 9th in the league. The Royals hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Ryan O'Hearn comes into this matchup batting .255 with an OBP of .333. He has 12 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 47 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .362 with an OPS+ of 91. Jorge Soler is hitting .244 this season and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 21 hits in 86 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Royals as a unit have 191 base hits, including 45 doubles and 28 homers. Kansas City has walked 56 times this year and they have struck out on 201 occasions. They have had 142 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They have scored 4.04 runs per game and totaled 93 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Reds/Royals MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Royals (-104)
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