Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FSN/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (+148) Twins (-160)

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (29-28, 3rd in NL Central) head to Target Field on Friday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (35-22, 1st in AL Central). The Twins open this game at -160 while the Reds are coming in at +148. The O/U is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Jose Berrios.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/21/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/19/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/15/2020 Leon Jose De Leon RP Groin Out for the season
9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/23/2020 Nelson Cruz DH Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/22/2020 Luis Arraez 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/22/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brent Rooker RF Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 29-28 overall record this season. Mahle (13-25 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.74 while he has gone up against 1,344 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.69 (160 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.394. He has given up 311 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 117 free passes. Mahle has taken the mound for 307 innings and has 309 strikeouts so far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .183 against the bullpen and they've struck out 212 hitters and walked 90 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 378 base hits and 204 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 204 batters and struck out 581. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 11 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .211, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.4 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .227 with an on-base percentage of .349. He has 40 hits this season in 176 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .455 and an OPS+ of 111. Mike Moustakas is hitting .228 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 29 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 127 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .441. The Reds have 366 hits, including 72 doubles and 87 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 227 times so far this season and they have struck out 506 times as a unit. They have left 350 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 228 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Berrios (48-37 career record) holds a 4.16 ERA and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.95 and he has faced 2,785 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. During his career, Berrios has allowed 610 hits while accumulating 646 strikeouts in 655 innings. He has given up a total of 303 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.266 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 253 batters and walked 76 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.52. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 424 base knocks and 190 earned runs this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 158 hitters and struck out 507 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 18th in the league. The Twins hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .225 with an OBP of .313. He has 36 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 160 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 105. Eddie Rosario is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 51 hits in 199 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .482. The Twins as a unit have 445 base hits, including 69 doubles and 91 homers. Minnesota has walked 177 times this year and they have struck out on 494 occasions. They have had 353 men left on base and have an OPS of .747. They have scored 4.51 runs per game and totaled 257 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (-160)

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