Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/5/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Saturday, September 5, 2020
Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+216) Twins (-240)
Nelson Cruz and the Minnesota Twins (22-16, 3rd in AL Central) play the Detroit Tigers (17-17, 4th in AL Central) at Target Field on Saturday. The Twins open this matchup at -240 while the Tigers are coming in at +216. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Tarik Skubal and Kenta Maeda.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
9/4/2020 Niko Goodrum SS Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
9/2/2020 JaCoby Jones CF Hand Out for the season
9/1/2020 Harold Castro 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2020 Ivan Nova SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Jordan Zimmermann SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/31/2020 Daz Cameron CF Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/27/2020 Alex Faedo SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 Dario Agrazal SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 C.J 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
9/4/2020 Max Kepler RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/4/2020 Cody Stashak RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/4/2020 Zack Littell RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/3/2020 Luis Arraez 2B Kneecap Probable for Sep 4
9/2/2020 Alex Avila C Undisclosed Probable for Sep 4
8/31/2020 Mitch Garver C Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
8/29/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/22/2020 Homer Bailey SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 17-17 overall record this season. Skubal (1-1 record) holds a FIP of 6.72 while facing 42 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 6.92 (7 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.648. He has given up 13 hits (12.9 hits per nine innings) and has 2 free passes. Skubal has pitched in 9 frames and has earned 8 strikeouts so far. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 139 hitters and walked 48 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.47. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 294 base hits and 178 earned runs. They have allowed 54 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 113 batters and struck out 263. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 5.14.
As a team Detroit is hitting .255, good for 10th in the league. The Tigers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Austin Romine is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .294. He has 23 hits this season in 83 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .398 and an OPS+ of 86. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .310 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 39 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 126 at bats. His OPS+ is 135 while his slugging percentage is at .524. The Tigers have 286 hits, including 57 doubles and 46 home runs. Detroit has walked 89 times so far this season and they have struck out 330 times as a unit. They have left 198 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 169 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 22-16 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Maeda has given up 525 hits while he has accumulated 689 punchouts in 631 innings. He has allowed 265 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.125 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.72 and he has faced 2,589 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Maeda (51-36 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.78 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 174 batters and walked 51 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 288 base knocks and 132 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 112 hitters and struck out 329 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 18th in the league. The Twins hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .420. He has 42 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 129 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .667 with an OPS+ of 194. Byron Buxton is hitting .236 this season and he has an OBP of .240. He has collected 17 hits in 72 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .458. The Twins as a unit have 296 base hits, including 46 doubles and 52 homers. Minnesota has walked 124 times this year and they have struck out on 333 occasions. They have had 248 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They have scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 170 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins (-240)
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