Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: Globe Life Park in Arlington, TX

TV: ATSW

Odds/Point Spread: Astros (-135) Rangers (+125)

Globe Life Park is the venue where Isiah Kiner-Falefa and the Texas Rangers (20-38, 5th in AL West) will take on the Houston Astros (29-29, 2nd in AL West) on Sunday. The line on this game has the Astros coming in at -135 and the Rangers are at +125. The O/U is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Framber Valdez and Jordan Lyles.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/25/2020 Josh James RP Undisclosed Out for the season
9/23/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Brad Peacock RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/19/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Justin Verlander SP Elbow Out for the season
9/16/2020 Chris Devenski RP Elbow Out for the season
9/4/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Out for the season

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/26/2020 Joe Palumbo RP Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Jose Trevino C Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Shin-Soo Choo LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Elvis Andrus SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2020 Sherten Apostel 1B Back Probable for Sep 26
9/9/2020 Danny Santana 1B Elbow Out for the season
9/6/2020 Joely Rodriguez RP Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Jose Leclerc RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2020 Corey Kluber SP Shoulder Out for the season
8/13/2020 Edinson Volquez RP Oblique Out for the season
6/28/2020 Brock Burke SP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 29-29 overall record this season. Valdez (13-11 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.08 and he has faced 771 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.19 (83 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.364. He has surrendered 159 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 84 walks. Valdez has thrown 178 innings and has accounted for 178 K's during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 191 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 214 hitters and walked 114 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 451 base hits and 238 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 209 batters and struck out 500. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .240, good for 19th in the league. The Astros hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Carlos Correa is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .320. He has 51 hits this season in 199 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .362 and an OPS+ of 85. George Springer is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 49 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 186 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .543. The Astros have 462 hits, including 102 doubles and 66 home runs. Houston has walked 186 times so far this season and they have struck out 426 times as a unit. They have left 366 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 274 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 20-38 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Lyles has conceded 1,054 base hits while accumulating 728 strikeouts in 964 innings pitched. He has allowed 559 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.442 and having a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.17 and he has gone up against 4,261 hitters during his MLB career. Lyles (44-66 career record) holds a 5.22 earned run average while surrendering 9.8 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 196 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 226 batters and walked 110 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 464 base knocks and 283 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 230 hitters and struck out 475 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .213, good for 29th in the league. The Rangers hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .280, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.9 hits per contest. Isiah Kiner-Falefa comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .339. He has 59 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 204 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .382 with an OPS+ of 98. Rougned Odor is hitting .153 this season and he has an OBP of .193. He has collected 20 hits in 131 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 48 and a slugging percentage of .366. The Rangers as a unit have 399 base hits, including 80 doubles and 58 homers. Texas has walked 159 times this year and they have struck out on 522 occasions. They have had 335 men left on base and have an OPS of .639. They have scored 3.62 runs per game and totaled 210 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros (-135)

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