Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/14/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Dodgers (-135) Braves (+125)

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (35-25, 1st in NL East) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) at Truist Park on Wednesday in Game 3 of the NLCS. The odds on this game have the Dodgers coming in at -135 and the Braves are at +125. The O/U is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Julio Urias and Kyle Wright.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

10/13/2020 Clayton Kershaw SP Back —
10/12/2020 Edwin Rios 3B Groin 
10/6/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

10/13/2020 Adam Duvall LF Oblique 
9/27/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Mar 25, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers had a 43-17 overall record this season. Urias (12-7 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.49 while going up against 1,001 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.20 (85 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.251. He has given up 209 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 90 walks. Urias has taken the ball for 239 innings and has earned 232 punchouts so far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 258 hitters and walked 75 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 424 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 517. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 64 hits this season in 219 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .562 and an OPS+ of 149. Cody Bellinger is hitting .239 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 213 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .455. The Dodgers have 523 hits, including 97 doubles and 118 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 471 times as a unit. They have left 391 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 349 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his pro baseball career, Wright has given up 63 hits while accumulating 53 K's in 63 innings. He has conceded a total of 44 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.677 and having a FIP of 6.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.23 and he has gone up against 289 hitters in his MLB career. Wright (2-7 career mark) has a 6.27 earned run average and has given up 9.0 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 282 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 494 base knocks and 257 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 220 hitters and struck out 506 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .406. He has 40 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 160 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .581 with an OPS+ of 155. Freddie Freeman is hitting .341 this season and he has an OBP of .462. He has collected 73 hits in 214 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 186 and a slugging percentage of .640. The Braves as a unit have 556 base hits, including 130 doubles and 103 homers. Atlanta has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out on 573 occasions. They have had 437 men left on base and have an OPS of .832. They have scored 5.8 runs per game and totaled 348 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dodgers (-135)

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