Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/16/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, October 16, 2020
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
Odds/Point Spread: Dodgers (-240) Braves (+220)
Austin Riley and the Atlanta Braves (35-25, 1st in NL East) play the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) at Truist Park on Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS. The Braves lead the series 3-1 after winning 10-2 on Thursday. The Dodgers open this contest at -240 while the Braves are priced at +220. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Dustin May and Josh Tomlin.
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
10/6/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
10/13/2020 Adam Duvall LF Oblique
9/27/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Mar 25, 2021
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Dodgers had a 43-17 overall record this season. May (5-4 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.96 and he has faced 365 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.99 (30 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.098. He has allowed 78 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 21 walks. May has taken the ball for 90 innings and has tallied 76 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 258 hitters and walked 75 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 424 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 517. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.
As a team Los Angeles is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Corey Seager is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 65 hits this season in 212 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .585 and an OPS+ of 152. Max Muncy is hitting .192 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 39 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 203 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .389. The Dodgers have 523 hits, including 97 doubles and 118 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 471 times as a unit. They have left 391 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 349 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 35-25 overall mark this year. During his MLB career, Tomlin has allowed 1,091 hits while earning 699 K's in 1,017 innings. He has given up a total of 530 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.72 and he has gone up against 4,235 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Tomlin (65-56 career record) has a 4.69 ERA while conceding 9.7 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 282 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 494 base knocks and 257 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 220 hitters and struck out 506 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Austin Riley comes into this matchup batting .239 with an OBP of .301. He has 45 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 188 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 86. Dansby Swanson is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 65 hits in 237 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .464. The Braves as a unit have 556 base hits, including 130 doubles and 103 homers. Atlanta has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out on 573 occasions. They have had 437 men left on base and have an OPS of .832. They have scored 5.8 runs per game and totaled 348 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves (+220)
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