Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 10/8/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, October 8, 2020

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: MLB Network

Odds/Point Spread: Dodgers (-220) Padres (+190)

Petco Park is the venue where Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (37-23, 2nd in NL West) will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) on Thursday in Game 3 of the NLDS. The Dodgers open this matchup at -220 while the Padres are coming in at +190. The over/under opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Julio Urias and Chris Paddack.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

10/6/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

10/7/2020 Jason Castro C Jaw Out for the season
10/6/2020 Mike Clevinger SP Elbow —
9/30/2020 Javy Guerra RP Personal Out for the season
9/27/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/23/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Out for the season
9/22/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers had a 43-17 overall record this season. Urias (12-7 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.49 and he has gone up against 1,001 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.20 (85 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.251. He has surrendered 209 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 90 walks. Urias has thrown 239 innings and has accounted for 232 K's during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 258 hitters and walked 75 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 424 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 517. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Corey Seager is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 65 hits this season in 212 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .585 and an OPS+ of 152. Cody Bellinger is hitting .239 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 213 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .455. The Dodgers have 523 hits, including 97 doubles and 118 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 471 times as a unit. They have left 391 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 349 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 37-23 overall mark this year. Paddack (13-12 mark in his career) has earned a 3.74 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 4.91 and he has faced 813 opposing hitters during his career. During his MLB career, Paddack has allowed 167 hits while totaling 211 strikeouts in 200 innings pitched. He has surrendered 83 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.051 and a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 261 batters and walked 92 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 456 base knocks and 223 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 565 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Padres hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .287 with an OBP of .333. He has 41 hits this year along with 36 RBI in 143 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .517 with an OPS+ of 131. Mitch Moreland is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 36 hits in 136 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 139 and a slugging percentage of .551. The Padres as a unit have 506 base hits, including 103 doubles and 95 homers. San Diego has walked 204 times this year and they have struck out on 479 occasions. They have had 363 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They have scored 5.42 runs per game and totaled 325 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres (+190)

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