Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 10/24/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2020
Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX
Odds/Point Spread: Dodgers (-154) Rays (+142)
Globe Life Field is the site where Randy Arozarena and the Tampa Bay Rays (40-20, 1st in AL East) will play the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) on Saturday in Game 3 of the World Series. L.A. leads the series 2-1 after winning Game 3 by a score of 6-2. The Rays open this matchup at +142 while the Dodgers are coming in at -154. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Julio Urias and Ryan Yarbrough.
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
10/6/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
10/11/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Oct 19
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Dodgers had a 43-17 overall record this season. Urias (12-7 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.49 while he has gone up against 1,001 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.20 (85 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.251. He has conceded 209 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 90 free passes. Urias has taken the ball for 239 innings and has totaled 232 punchouts during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 258 hitters and walked 75 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 424 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 517. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.
As a team Los Angeles is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Corey Seager is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 65 hits this season in 212 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .585 and an OPS+ of 152. Cody Bellinger is hitting .239 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 213 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .455. The Dodgers have 523 hits, including 97 doubles and 118 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 471 times as a unit. They have left 391 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 349 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 40-20 overall mark this year. Yarbrough (28-16 record in his career) holds a 3.95 earned run average while conceding 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.52 and he has faced 1,425 opposing batters in his career. In his career, Yarbrough has allowed 315 hits while earning 289 strikeouts in 344 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 151 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.153 and having a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 263 batters and walked 87 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 475 base knocks and 209 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 168 hitters and struck out 552 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 21st in the league. The Rays hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Randy Arozarena comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .382. He has 18 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 64 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .641 with an OPS+ of 179. Austin Meadows is hitting .205 this season and he has an OBP of .296. He has collected 27 hits in 132 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .371. The Rays as a unit have 470 base hits, including 105 doubles and 80 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 243 times this year and they have struck out on 608 occasions. They have had 416 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.82 runs per game and totaled 289 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays (+142)
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