Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/7/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2020
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: MLB Network
Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+157) Braves (-171)
Truist Park is the site where Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (35-25, 1st in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (31-29, 2nd in NL East) on Wednesday in Game 2 of the NLDS. The Marlins open this contest at +157 while the Braves are priced at -171. The over/under opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Pablo Lopez and Ian Anderson.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
10/4/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
10/4/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
10/4/2020 Josh Smith RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
10/4/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
9/27/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Mar 25, 2021
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins had a 31-29 overall record this season. Lopez (13-16 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.04 while facing 956 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.48 (113 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.233. He has given up 217 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 63 free passes. Lopez has taken the hill for 227 innings and has accounted for 200 punchouts so far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.50 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 187 hitters and walked 118 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 506 base hits and 272 earned runs. They have allowed 82 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 226 batters and struck out 451. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.02.
As a team Miami is hitting .244, good for 17th in the league. The Marlins hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Jon Berti is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 31 hits this season in 120 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .350 and an OPS+ of 105. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 188 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .457. The Marlins have 472 hits, including 82 doubles and 60 home runs. Miami has walked 191 times so far this season and they have struck out 537 times as a unit. They have left 396 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 263 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Anderson (3-2 mark) has a 1.96 ERA and has conceded 5.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.93 and he has gone up against 138 hitters during his pro baseball career. Anderson has allowed 21 base knocks while totaling 41 punchouts in 32 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 7 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.090 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 282 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 494 base knocks and 257 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 220 hitters and struck out 506 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .341 with an OBP of .462. He has 73 hits this year along with 53 RBI in 214 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .640 with an OPS+ of 186. Dansby Swanson is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 65 hits in 237 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .464. The Braves as a unit have 556 base hits, including 130 doubles and 103 homers. Atlanta has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out on 573 occasions. They have had 437 men left on base and have an OPS of .832. They have scored 5.8 runs per game and totaled 348 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+157)
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