Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, September 21, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FSFL/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+157) Braves (-170)

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (31-22, 1st in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (28-25, 2nd in NL East) at Truist Park on Monday. The Marlins open this game at +157 while the Braves are coming in at -170. The total opens at 9. The men taking the mound will be Trevor Rogers and Huascar Ynoa.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/20/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/20/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/16/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/15/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/20/2020 Huascar Ynoa RP Back Probable for Sep 20
9/20/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/15/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 28-25 overall record this season. Rogers has pitched in 21 innings and has earned 29 punchouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 6.00 (14 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.524. He has conceded 22 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 10 free passes. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 161 hitters and walked 98 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 419 base hits and 219 earned runs. They have allowed 68 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 186 batters and struck out 387. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .248, good for 15th in the league. The Marlins hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .347 with an on-base percentage of .431. He has 35 hits this season in 101 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .574 and an OPS+ of 172. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 44 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 159 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .453. The Marlins have 408 hits, including 76 doubles and 53 home runs. Miami has walked 166 times so far this season and they have struck out 461 times as a unit. They have left 330 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 235 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 31-22 overall mark this year. During his career, Ynoa has given up 24 base hits while earning 19 punchouts in 21 frames. He has surrendered 17 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.745 and a FIP of 5.4. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.46 and he has gone up against 102 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 203 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 236 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 426 base knocks and 231 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 190 hitters and struck out 432 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .349 with an OBP of .461. He has 66 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 189 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .640 with an OPS+ of 184. Dansby Swanson is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 56 hits in 207 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .435. The Braves as a unit have 485 base hits, including 113 doubles and 92 homers. Atlanta has walked 201 times this year and they have struck out on 493 occasions. They have had 370 men left on base and have an OPS of .838. They have scored 5.83 runs per game and totaled 303 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+157)

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