Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FSFL/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+147) Braves (-159)

Truist Park is the venue where Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (32-22, 1st in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (28-26, 2nd in NL East) on Wednesday. The Braves open this matchup at -159 while the Marlins are priced at +147. The O/U is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Sixto Sanchez and Max Fried.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/22/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/22/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/22/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/21/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/21/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/21/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/21/2020 Huascar Ynoa RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/21/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/15/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 28-26 overall record this season. Sanchez (3-2 record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.31 and he has gone up against 141 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.75 (11 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.083. He has surrendered 32 base knocks (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 7 walks. Sanchez has pitched in 36 frames and has tallied 31 strikeouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.17 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 167 hitters and walked 101 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 452 base hits and 239 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 196 batters and struck out 405. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.95.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .246, good for 15th in the league. The Marlins hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Starling Marte is hitting .290 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 61 hits this season in 210 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 112. Brian Anderson is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 180 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Marlins have 424 hits, including 78 doubles and 53 home runs. Miami has walked 177 times so far this season and they have struck out 481 times as a unit. They have left 352 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.46 runs per contest and have scored a total of 241 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 32-22 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Fried has given up 269 hits while he has earned 289 K's in 280 frames. He has allowed 108 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and he has faced 1,183 hitters during his pro baseball career. Fried (26-11 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.47 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 243 batters and walked 95 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 438 base knocks and 235 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 198 hitters and struck out 446 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .424. He has 36 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 138 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .616 with an OPS+ of 169. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .316 this season and he has an OBP of .403. He has collected 65 hits in 206 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .592. The Braves as a unit have 501 base hits, including 120 doubles and 93 homers. Atlanta has walked 210 times this year and they have struck out on 516 occasions. They have had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .835. They have scored 5.83 runs per game and totaled 315 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Marlins and under 9 runs

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