Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/9/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2020
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+120) Braves (-140)
Truist Park is the venue where Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (24-17, 1st in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (18-18, 3rd in NL East) on Wednesday. The odds on this matchup have the Marlins priced at +120 and the Braves are at -140. The O/U opens at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Pablo Lopez and Tommy Milone.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
9/7/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/7/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/7/2020 Jon Berti CF Finger Probable for Sep 8
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/7/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/6/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/5/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/4/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/4/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/2/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
9/8/2020 Max Fried SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/4/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 18-18 overall record this season. Lopez (10-15 career mark) has a FIP of 4.04 and he has gone up against 877 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.45 (103 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.245. He has conceded 205 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 54 walks. Lopez has pitched in 208 innings and has racked up 179 K's during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the bullpen and they've struck out 109 hitters and walked 76 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 287 base hits and 142 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 136 batters and struck out 275. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 5.01.
As a team Miami is hitting .234, good for 21st in the league. The Marlins hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .336. He has 30 hits this season in 110 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .455 and an OPS+ of 114. Miguel Rojas is hitting .375 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .470. He has totaled 21 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 56 at bats. His OPS+ is 192 while his slugging percentage is at .607. The Marlins have 274 hits, including 51 doubles and 33 home runs. Miami has walked 122 times so far this season and they have struck out 336 times as a unit. They have left 235 men on base and have a team OPS of .681. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 152 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 24-17 overall mark this year. Milone (51-51 career mark) has earned a 4.50 earned run average and has given up 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.17 and he has gone up against 3,894 batters so far in his career. In his career, Milone has conceded 986 hits and he has 684 strikeouts in 909 innings. He has allowed 455 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.322 and a FIP of 4.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 184 batters and walked 62 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 326 base knocks and 175 earned runs this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 143 hitters and struck out 336 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .482 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Dansby Swanson comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .360. He has 49 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 163 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .485 with an OPS+ of 119. Freddie Freeman is hitting .317 this season and he has an OBP of .446. He has collected 45 hits in 142 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 165 and a slugging percentage of .570. The Braves as a unit have 369 base hits, including 91 doubles and 68 homers. Atlanta has walked 146 times this year and they have struck out on 384 occasions. They have had 281 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They have scored 5.51 runs per game and totaled 226 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+120)
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