Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, August 27, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FSFL/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+217) Mets (-242)

Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (14-11, 2nd in NL East) are headed to Citi Field on Thursday where they'll meet the New York Mets (12-16, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this game at -242 while the Marlins are coming in at +217. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Sixto Sanchez and Robert Gsellman.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/26/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/25/2020 Adam Conley RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/25/2020 Ryne Stanek RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/25/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/25/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/25/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/25/2020 Chad Wallach C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/24/2020 Yimi Garcia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/24/2020 Garrett Cooper 1B Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/24/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/24/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2020 Jose Urena SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/25/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/25/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/25/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/25/2020 Andres Gimenez 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/18/2020 David Peterson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 14-11 overall record this season. Sanchez (1-0 win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 6.80 and he has gone up against 21 opposing hitters. His ERA is 5.40 (3 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.200. He has conceded 6 base knocks (10.8 hits per nine innings) and has 0 walks. Sanchez has pitched in 5 innings and has accumulated 4 strikeouts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 98 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 81 hitters and walked 53 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 200 base hits and 100 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 97 batters and struck out 185. They have walked 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 5.34.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .246, good for 16th in the league. The Marlins hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 21 hits this season in 84 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 121. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 89 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .472. The Marlins have 198 hits, including 31 doubles and 22 home runs. Miami has walked 83 times so far this season and they have struck out 225 times as a unit. They have left 164 men on base and have a team OPS of .697. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 112 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 12-16 overall mark this year. In his pro baseball career, Gsellman has surrendered 328 base knocks while he has tallied 258 punchouts in 312 frames. He has allowed a total of 156 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.403 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.35 and he has gone up against 1,381 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Gsellman (20-15 mark in his career) holds a 4.50 ERA while allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 122 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 245 base knocks and 131 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 80 hitters and struck out 256 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 2nd in the league. The Mets hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .232 with an OBP of .361. He has 23 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 99 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .414 with an OPS+ of 117. Jeff McNeil is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 19 hits in 71 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .324. The Mets as a unit have 250 base hits, including 45 doubles and 34 homers. New York has walked 111 times this year and they have struck out on 232 occasions. They have had 232 men left on base and have an OPS of .788. They have scored 4.39 runs per game and totaled 123 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+217)

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