Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: FSFL/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+170) Yankees (-185)

Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (28-28, 2nd in NL East) head to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (32-24, 2nd in AL East). The Yankees open this game at -185 while the Marlins are priced at +170. The total has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and J.A. Happ.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/24/2020 Josh Smith RP Finger Out for the season
9/23/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Out for the season
9/23/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/21/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/22/2020 Ben Heller RP Biceps Out for the season
9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 28-28 overall record this season. Alcantara (11-19 career mark) has a FIP of 4.57 while he has gone up against 1,168 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.74 (114 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.332. He has surrendered 242 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 123 walks. Alcantara has thrown 274 innings and has accounted for 221 strikeouts during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.43 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 173 hitters and walked 103 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.94. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 477 base hits and 257 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 204 batters and struck out 416. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.06.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .246, good for 15th in the league. The Marlins hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .412. He has 36 hits this season in 113 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .522 and an OPS+ of 155. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 177 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .458. The Marlins have 441 hits, including 79 doubles and 56 home runs. Miami has walked 180 times so far this season and they have struck out 501 times as a unit. They have left 363 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 246 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 32-24 overall mark this year. Happ (123-92 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.98 earned run average and has given up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.49 and he has faced 7,355 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. In his pro baseball career, Happ has allowed 1,642 hits while he has earned 1,536 punchouts in 1,736 frames. He has given up a total of 767 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.302 and having a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 197 batters and walked 88 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 423 base knocks and 227 earned runs this season. They have given up 79 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 158 hitters and struck out 490 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 13th in the league. The Yankees hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Luke Voit comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .338. He has 54 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 196 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .622 with an OPS+ of 160. Aaron Judge is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 24 hits in 90 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .589. The Yankees as a unit have 443 base hits, including 81 doubles and 91 homers. New York has walked 230 times this year and they have struck out on 451 occasions. They have had 370 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. They have scored 5.36 runs per game and totaled 300 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+170)

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