Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/26/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2020

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: FSFL/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+172) Yankees (-187)

Yankee Stadium is the venue where Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees (32-25, 2nd in AL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (29-28, 2nd in NL East) on Saturday. The Yankees open this contest at -187 while the Marlins are priced at +172. The over/under is set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Trevor Rogers and Deivi Garcia.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/24/2020 Josh Smith RP Finger Out for the season
9/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Out for the season
9/23/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/21/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/22/2020 Ben Heller RP Biceps Out for the season
9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 29-28 overall record this season. Rogers has thrown 25 innings and has earned 35 punchouts. His earned run average is 6.84 (19 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.680. He has surrendered 30 base knocks (10.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 12 free passes. Rogers (1-2 mark) has a FIP of 4.68 while going up against 119 opposing hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.41 and they have given up 226 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 180 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 483 base hits and 259 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 210 batters and struck out 429. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.02.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .246, good for 17th in the league. The Marlins hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 52 hits this season in 181 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .475 and an OPS+ of 126. Miguel Rojas is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 117 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .504. The Marlins have 450 hits, including 80 doubles and 57 home runs. Miami has walked 182 times so far this season and they have struck out 511 times as a unit. They have left 372 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 250 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 32-25 overall mark this year. So far in his career, Garcia has given up 28 base hits while earning 26 punchouts in 27 frames. He has allowed a total of 15 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.213 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. He has a SO/W ratio of 5.20 and he has faced 117 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Garcia (2-2 record) has earned a 4.96 ERA while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 201 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 433 base knocks and 230 earned runs this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 159 hitters and struck out 502 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Yankees hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Aaron Judge comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .320. He has 24 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 92 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .576 with an OPS+ of 141. Luke Voit is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 56 hits in 201 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 157 and a slugging percentage of .617. The Yankees as a unit have 450 base hits, including 82 doubles and 91 homers. New York has walked 235 times this year and they have struck out on 458 occasions. They have had 381 men left on base and have an OPS of .791. They have scored 5.28 runs per game and totaled 301 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+172)

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