Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/24/2020
Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Friday, July 24, 2020
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+185) Phillies (-200)
The Miami Marlins head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.
The odds for this matchup have Miami at +185 and Philadelphia at -200. The Marlins had a 79-73-10 over/under mark and a 57-105-0 run line record last year. The Phillies were 81-81-0 against the run line and had a 73-82-7 over/under record.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins were 79-73-10 against the over/under last year
The Miami Marlins were 57-105-0 against the run line last season
Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies were 73-82-7 against the over/under last year
The Philadelphia Phillies were 81-81-0 against the run line last season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/19/2020 Will Banfield C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/18/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Wrist Questionable for start of season
7/16/2020 Matt Joyce LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2020 Lewis Brinson CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
7/21/2020 Zach Eflin SP Back Questionable for start of season
7/20/2020 Mikie Mahtook CF Illness Questionable for start of season
7/20/2020 Jean Segura SS Hand Questionable for start of season
7/18/2020 Victor Arano RP Shoulder Questionable for start of season
7/16/2020 Austin Davis RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/16/2020 Rafael Marchan C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/8/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/8/2020 Hector Neris RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/8/2020 Tommy Hunter RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/8/2020 Los Santos Enyel De Los Santos RP Hamstring Questionable for start of season
6/28/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23, 2021
4/30/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins had a 57-105 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara had a 6-14 record with an earned run average of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.32. He had 151 strikeouts over his 197.1 innings pitched and he gave up 179 hits. He allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.55. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.97 and they gave up 537 base hits on the year. Teams hit .248 against the bullpen and they struck out 570 hitters while walking 270 batters. As a team, Miami allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers collectively gave up 1,340 base hits and 760 earned runs last year. They allowed 236 home runs last season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff walked 615 batters and struck out 1,378. They walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit was 4.89.
As a team Miami hit .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins held a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which was good for 29th in baseball. They ranked 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Corey Dickerson hit .304 with an on-base percentage of .341 last year. He had 79 hits last season in 260 at bats with 59 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .565 and an OPS+ of 131. Brian Anderson hit .261 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .342. He totaled 120 hits and he drove in 66 men in 459 at bats. His OPS+ was 114 while his slugging percentage was at .468. The Marlins had 1,326 hits last season, including 265 doubles and 146 home runs. Miami walked 395 times last year and they struck out 1,469 times as a unit. They left 1,034 men on base and had a team OPS of .673. They scored 3.8 runs per contest and scored a total of 615 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Philadelphia had a 81-81 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.87, Aaron Nola had a 12-7 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He had 229 strikeouts over the 202.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 176 hits. He allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.03. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.38 and they gave up 574 base hits on the year. Teams hit .254 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers struck out 584 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Phillies pitchers as a team surrendered 1,452 base knocks and 731 earned runs last season. They gave up 258 home runs last year, which ranked 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff walked 546 hitters and struck out 1,392 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.37 while their FIP as a staff was 4.88.
As a team, they batted .246, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies held a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which was good for 20th in baseball. They ranked 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup after batting .260 with an OBP of .372 last season. He had 149 hits last year along with 114 RBI in 573 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .510 with an OPS+ of 125. Rhys Hoskins hit .226 last season and he had an OBP of .364. He collected 129 hits in 570 at bats while driving in 85 runs. He had an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .454. The Phillies as a unit had 1,369 base hits last season, including 311 doubles and 215 homers. Philadelphia walked 562 times last year and they struck out on 1,453 occasions. They left 1,129 men on base and had an OPS of .746. They scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 774 runs last year.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-200)
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