Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/26/2020
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Sunday, July 26, 2020
Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL
Odds/Point Spread: Brewers (+133) Cubs (-145)
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Wrigley Field on Sunday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Tyler Chatwood for the Cubs.
The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +133 and Chicago at -145. The Brewers had a 69-88-6 over/under record and a 89-74-0 run line mark last season. The Cubs were 84-78-0 against the run line and had a 76-79-7 over/under record.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers were 69-88-6 against the over/under last year
The Milwaukee Brewers were 89-74-0 against the run line last season
Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs were 76-79-7 against the over/under last year
The Chicago Cubs were 84-78-0 against the run line last season
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
7/23/2020 Tristen Lutz LF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2020 Angel Perdomo RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/22/2020 Luis Urias 2B Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/21/2020 Ray Black RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/20/2020 Eric Lauer SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/20/2020 Ryan Braun LF Oblique Probable for Jul 24
7/20/2020 Brett Anderson SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Key Chicago Cubs Injuries
7/23/2020 Mark Zagunis RF Opt Out Out for the season
7/23/2020 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
7/23/2020 Jose Quintana SP Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/9/2020 Manuel Rodriguez RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers had a 89-73 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Freddy Peralta had a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.46. He had 115 strikeouts over his 85 innings pitched and he gave up 87 hits. He allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 590 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the bullpen while striking out 761 hitters and walking 287 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They were 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Brewers pitchers collectively gave up 1,364 base hits and 713 earned runs last year. They allowed 225 home runs last season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff walked 570 batters and struck out 1,497. They walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit was 4.46.
As a team Milwaukee hit .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Brewers held a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which was good for 9th in baseball. They ranked 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Justin Smoak hit .208 with an on-base percentage of .342 last year. He had 86 hits last season in 414 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .406 and an OPS+ of 101. Eric Sogard hit .290 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .353. He totaled 115 hits and he drove in 40 men in 396 at bats. His OPS+ was 116 while his slugging percentage was at .457. The Brewers had 1,366 hits last season, including 279 doubles and 250 home runs. Milwaukee walked 629 times last year and they struck out 1,563 times as a unit. They left 1,180 men on base and had a team OPS of .767. They scored 4.75 runs per contest and scored a total of 769 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago had a 84-78 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.76, Tyler Chatwood had a 5-3 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He had 74 strikeouts over the 76.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 65 hits. He allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.28. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.98 and they gave up 481 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers struck out 559 batters and walked 268 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They were 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.1. The Cubs pitchers as a team surrendered 1,377 base knocks and 657 earned runs last season. They gave up 195 home runs last year, which ranked 27th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff walked 534 hitters and struck out 1,444 batters. They gave up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.33 while their FIP as a staff was 4.25.
As a team, they batted .252, good for 13th in the league. The Cubs held a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which was good for 8th in baseball. They ranked 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup after batting .293 with an OBP of .405 last season. He had 150 hits last year along with 94 RBI in 512 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .520 with an OPS+ of 137. Kyle Schwarber hit .250 last season and he had an OBP of .339. He collected 132 hits in 529 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He had an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .531. The Cubs as a unit had 1,378 base hits last season, including 270 doubles and 256 homers. Chicago walked 581 times last year and they struck out on 1,460 occasions. They left 1,071 men on base and had an OPS of .783. They scored 5.02 runs per game and totaled 814 runs last year.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Cubs MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs (-145)
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