Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSOH/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Brewers (+139) Reds (-150)

Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (27-27, 3rd in NL Central) play the Milwaukee Brewers (26-26, 4th in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The Reds open this game at -150 while the Brewers are coming in at +139. The total opens at 8. The starting pitchers are Brett Anderson and Sonny Gray.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/21/2020 Eric Yardley RP Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2020 Ben Gamel RF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/1/2020 Manny Pina C Knee Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/20/2020 Sonny Gray SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/19/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Leon Jose De Leon RP Groin Out for the season
9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 26-26 overall record this season. Anderson has taken the mound for 1,036 innings and has accounted for 706 K's during his career. His ERA is 4.07 (468 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.336. He has given up 1,109 base hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 275 walks. Anderson (62-64 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.01 and he has gone up against 4,385 hitters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 161 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the bullpen and they've struck out 267 hitters and walked 85 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 395 base hits and 209 earned runs. They have allowed 57 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 534. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .228, good for 23rd in the league. The Brewers hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Avisail Garcia is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .352. He has 38 hits this season in 152 at bats with 15 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .355 and an OPS+ of 92. Orlando Arcia is hitting .245 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 147 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .374. The Brewers have 382 hits, including 74 doubles and 68 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 197 times so far this season and they have struck out 504 times as a unit. They have left 338 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 229 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 27-27 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Gray has conceded 974 base hits while he has totaled 1,054 strikeouts in 1,121 innings. He has conceded 442 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and having a FIP of 3.7. His SO/W ratio is 2.65 and he has faced 4,672 hitters in his MLB career. Gray (75-63 career record) has a 3.55 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .182 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 206 batters and walked 88 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.9 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 362 base knocks and 197 earned runs this season. They have given up 64 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 197 hitters and struck out 546 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .212, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.4 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .230 with an OBP of .306. He has 45 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 196 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .500 with an OPS+ of 107. Jesse Winker is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .383. He has collected 36 hits in 138 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .543. The Reds as a unit have 348 base hits, including 66 doubles and 80 homers. Cincinnati has walked 220 times this year and they have struck out on 472 occasions. They have had 336 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They have scored 3.96 runs per game and totaled 214 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (-150)

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