New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/31/2020
Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, July 31, 2020
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+135) Braves (-150)
Truist Park is the venue where Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (3-3, 2nd in NL East) will take on the New York Mets (3-3, 3rd in NL East) on Friday. The Mets open this matchup at +135 while the Braves are priced at -150. The total opens at 10. The pitchers taking the mound are Rick Porcello and Sean Newcomb.
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez 2B Knee Probable for Jul 30
7/29/2020 Jared Hughes RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/29/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
7/25/2020 Brad Brach RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/22/2020 Marcus Stroman SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/22/2020 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/20/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Walker Lockett RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/30/2020 Pete Kozma SS Illness Probable for Jul 30
7/26/2020 Will Smith RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 3-3 overall record this season. Porcello (149-119 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.17 and he has faced 8,666 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.39 (994 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.314. He has conceded 2,203 hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 477 free passes. Porcello has taken the ball for 2,039 innings and has totaled 1,508 K's during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.39 and they have given up 29 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 25 hitters and walked 7 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 54 base hits and 30 earned runs. They have allowed 9 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 16 batters and struck out 52. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team New York is hitting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Mets hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 6 hits this season in 24 at bats with 2 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .375 and an OPS+ of 103. Jeff McNeil is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 6 hits and he has driven in 3 men in 22 at bats. His OPS+ is 112 while his slugging percentage is at .364. The Mets have 57 hits, including 8 doubles and 7 home runs. New York has walked 14 times so far this season and they have struck out 54 times as a unit. They have left 48 men on base and have a team OPS of .763. They score 4.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 25 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 3-3 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Newcomb has surrendered 301 base knocks and he has 334 strikeouts in 335 innings pitched. He has surrendered 144 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.402 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.98 and he has faced 1,462 hitters in his pro baseball career. Newcomb (22-21 career mark) has earned a 3.87 earned run average and has conceded 8.1 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have given up 26 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 30 batters and walked 4 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 47 base knocks and 26 earned runs this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 18 hitters and struck out 50 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 12th in the league. The Braves hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .316 with an OBP of .480. He has 6 hits this year along with 4 RBI in 19 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .579 with an OPS+ of 203. Ozzie Albies is hitting .214 this season and he has an OBP of .214. He has collected 6 hits in 28 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 70 and a slugging percentage of .393. The Braves as a unit have 50 base hits, including 15 doubles and 9 homers. Atlanta has walked 18 times this year and they have struck out on 74 occasions. They have had 36 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They have scored 5.5 runs per game and totaled 33 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (+135)
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