New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/24/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-105) Nationals (-105)

Victor Robles and the Washington Nationals (23-32, 5th in NL East) host the New York Mets (25-30, 4th in NL East) at Nationals Park on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Mets coming in at -105 and the Nationals are at -105. The O/U opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be David Peterson and Patrick Corbin.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/23/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/22/2020 Michael Conforto RF Hamstring Probable for Sep 23
9/22/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/21/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/22/2020 Aaron Barrett RP Triceps Out for the season
9/22/2020 Carter Kieboom 3B Hand Probable for Sep 23
9/22/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/22/2020 James Bourque RP Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
9/21/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Out for the season
9/20/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/20/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/19/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 25-30 overall record this season. Peterson (5-2 record) holds a FIP of 4.81 while he has gone up against 179 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.84 (18 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.303. He has surrendered 32 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 23 free passes. Peterson has taken the hill for 42 innings and is sitting with 36 punchouts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the bullpen and they've struck out 241 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 467 base hits and 252 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 197 batters and struck out 531. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .329 with an on-base percentage of .401. He has 55 hits this season in 167 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .485 and an OPS+ of 145. Pete Alonso is hitting .209 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .306. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 191 at bats. His OPS+ is 103 while his slugging percentage is at .435. The Mets have 509 hits, including 97 doubles and 76 home runs. New York has walked 185 times so far this season and they have struck out 456 times as a unit. They have left 411 men on base and have a team OPS of .808. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 267 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Corbin (72-67 career record) is the owner of a 3.85 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.35 and he has faced 5,094 hitters during his MLB career. In his career, Corbin has surrendered 1,188 hits while earning 1,192 punchouts in 1,205 frames. He has given up a total of 515 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.281 and a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 212 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 498 base knocks and 259 earned runs this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 201 hitters and struck out 473 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Victor Robles comes into this matchup batting .228 with an OBP of .298. He has 37 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 162 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .327 with an OPS+ of 67. Kurt Suzuki is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 28 hits in 105 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .400. The Nationals as a unit have 480 base hits, including 103 doubles and 60 homers. Washington has walked 172 times this year and they have struck out on 409 occasions. They have had 373 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 264 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals (-105)

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