New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/26/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-210) Nationals (+192)

Victor Robles and the Washington Nationals (23-34, 5th in NL East) play the New York Mets (26-31, 4th in NL East) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The Mets open this contest at -210 while the Nationals are priced at +192. The O/U is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jacob deGrom and Anibal Sanchez.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/24/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Out for the season
9/24/2020 Michael Conforto RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/24/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/25/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Out for the season
9/23/2020 Carter Kieboom 3B Wrist Out for the season
9/22/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/22/2020 Aaron Barrett RP Triceps Out for the season
9/22/2020 James Bourque RP Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
9/20/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/19/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 26-31 overall record this season. deGrom has thrown 1,164 innings and has earned 1,349 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 2.60 (336 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.046. He has conceded 936 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 282 free passes. deGrom (70-51 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.78 and he has gone up against 4,632 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 249 hitters and walked 120 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 484 base hits and 262 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 202 batters and struck out 547. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .320 with an on-base percentage of .393. He has 56 hits this season in 175 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .469 and an OPS+ of 138. Pete Alonso is hitting .211 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .307. He has totaled 42 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 199 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .432. The Mets have 527 hits, including 101 doubles and 80 home runs. New York has walked 190 times so far this season and they have struck out 474 times as a unit. They have left 426 men on base and have a team OPS of .806. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 275 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Sanchez (111-113 career mark) has a 4.05 ERA while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.64 and he has faced 8,294 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. In his pro baseball career, Sanchez has conceded 1,901 hits while he has tallied 1,723 strikeouts in 1,942 innings pitched. He has surrendered 874 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.314 and a FIP of 4.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 215 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 524 base knocks and 274 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 209 hitters and struck out 484 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 4.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 6th in the league. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Victor Robles comes into this matchup batting .224 with an OBP of .293. He has 37 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 165 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .321 with an OPS+ of 65. Kurt Suzuki is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 28 hits in 109 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .385. The Nationals as a unit have 492 base hits, including 107 doubles and 61 homers. Washington has walked 175 times this year and they have struck out on 424 occasions. They have had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 269 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (+192)

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