New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-123) Nationals (+113)

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (26-31, 4th in NL East) travel to Nationals Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Washington Nationals (23-34, 5th in NL East). The Nationals open this matchup at +113 while the Mets are priced at -123. The over/under is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Seth Lugo and Austin Voth.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/26/2020 Andres Gimenez SS Oblique Out for the season
9/24/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Out for the season
9/24/2020 Michael Conforto RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/24/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/26/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Out for the season
9/23/2020 Carter Kieboom 3B Wrist Out for the season
9/22/2020 James Bourque RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/22/2020 Aaron Barrett RP Triceps Out for the season
9/21/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
9/19/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 26-31 overall record this season. Lugo (25-18 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.61 while he has gone up against 1,568 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.33 (141 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.136. He has given up 335 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 98 free passes. Lugo has pitched in 381 innings and has 383 punchouts so far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 249 hitters and walked 120 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 484 base hits and 262 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 202 batters and struck out 547. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .211 with an on-base percentage of .307. He has 42 hits this season in 199 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .432 and an OPS+ of 102. Jeff McNeil is hitting .320 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 175 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .469. The Mets have 527 hits, including 101 doubles and 80 home runs. New York has walked 190 times so far this season and they have struck out 474 times as a unit. They have left 426 men on base and have a team OPS of .806. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 275 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Voth (4-7 career record) has a 5.03 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.57 and he has gone up against 431 batters during his career. In his career, Voth has allowed 93 base hits while tallying 95 punchouts in 100 frames. He has surrendered a total of 56 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.297 and a FIP of 5.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 215 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 524 base knocks and 274 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 209 hitters and struck out 484 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 4.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Kurt Suzuki comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .333. He has 28 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 109 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .385 with an OPS+ of 92. Victor Robles is hitting .224 this season and he has an OBP of .293. He has collected 37 hits in 165 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 65 and a slugging percentage of .321. The Nationals as a unit have 492 base hits, including 107 doubles and 61 homers. Washington has walked 175 times this year and they have struck out on 424 occasions. They have had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 269 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (+113)

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