New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/18/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, September 18, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-180) Red Sox (+166)

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (19-32, 5th in AL East) host the New York Yankees (28-21, 2nd in AL East) at Fenway Park on Friday. The line on this game has the Yankees coming in at -180 and the Red Sox are at +166. The total has been set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jordan Montgomery and Martin Perez.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/17/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/15/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/15/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 28-21 overall record this season. Montgomery has thrown 221 innings and has totaled 204 punchouts so far in his career. His ERA is 4.03 (99 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.263. He has given up 209 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 70 free passes. Montgomery (13-9 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.11 and he has faced 933 opposing hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 138 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .194 against the bullpen and they've struck out 174 hitters and walked 75 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.1. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 348 base hits and 183 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 138 batters and struck out 426. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .245, good for 14th in the league. The Yankees hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Aaron Hicks is hitting .212 with an on-base percentage of .381. He has 28 hits this season in 132 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .402 and an OPS+ of 117. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .373 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .421. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 150 at bats. His OPS+ is 184 while his slugging percentage is at .627. The Yankees have 377 hits, including 67 doubles and 82 home runs. New York has walked 198 times so far this season and they have struck out 391 times as a unit. They have left 326 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 256 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 19-32 overall mark this year. In his career, Perez has surrendered 1,083 base hits and he has 634 punchouts in 979 innings. He has given up 511 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.477 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.75 and he has faced 4,273 batters in his pro baseball career. Perez (56-60 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.70 earned run average while giving up 10.0 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.91 and they have given up 263 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 262 batters and walked 119 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.05. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 491 base knocks and 289 earned runs this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 213 hitters and struck out 433 batters. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.64 while their FIP as a staff is 5.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 5th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .208 with an OBP of .289. He has 35 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 168 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .375 with an OPS+ of 76. Rafael Devers is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 54 hits in 187 at bats while driving in 33 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .535. The Red Sox as a unit have 452 base hits, including 100 doubles and 67 homers. Boston has walked 147 times this year and they have struck out on 452 occasions. They have had 345 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They have scored 4.6 runs per game and totaled 230 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox (+166)

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