New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-201) Red Sox (+184)

Xander Bogaerts and the Boston Red Sox (19-32, 5th in AL East) host the New York Yankees (29-21, 2nd in AL East) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The Red Sox open this matchup at +184 while the Yankees are coming in at -201. The total has been set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be J.A. Happ and Chris Mazza.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/17/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Probable for Sep 18
9/15/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/15/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 29-21 overall record this season. Happ (122-92 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.30 and he has gone up against 7,326 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.99 (767 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.305. He has allowed 1,638 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 618 walks. Happ has pitched in 1,728 innings and has totaled 1,527 K's in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the bullpen and they've struck out 178 hitters and walked 77 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 360 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 69 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 140 batters and struck out 435. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .248, good for 13th in the league. The Yankees hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Gio Urshela is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 33 hits this season in 117 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .513 and an OPS+ of 138. Aaron Judge is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 19 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 69 at bats. His OPS+ is 170 while his slugging percentage is at .696. The Yankees have 391 hits, including 70 doubles and 88 home runs. New York has walked 204 times so far this season and they have struck out 399 times as a unit. They have left 335 men on base and have a team OPS of .809. They score 5.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 266 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 19-32 overall mark this year. In his career, Mazza has surrendered 46 hits while he has totaled 33 K's in 37 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 23 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.644 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.20 and he has faced 169 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Mazza (2-2 career win-loss mark) has a 5.58 ERA while conceding 11.2 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 267 batters and walked 120 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.99. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 498 base knocks and 292 earned runs this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 214 hitters and struck out 445 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.62 while their FIP as a staff is 5.34.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 5th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .342. He has 50 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 176 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .500 with an OPS+ of 121. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 41 hits in 155 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .419. The Red Sox as a unit have 462 base hits, including 100 doubles and 68 homers. Boston has walked 150 times this year and they have struck out on 463 occasions. They have had 350 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 4.61 runs per game and totaled 235 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox (+184)

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