New York Yankees vs Cleveland Indians Prediction, 9/30/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Cleveland Indians

Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-126) Indians (+106)

Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians (35-25, 3rd in AL Central) host the New York Yankees (33-27, 2nd in AL East) at Progressive Field on Wednesday. The Yankees open this matchup at -126 while the Indians are priced at +106. The total opens at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Masahiro Tanaka and Carlos Carrasco.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/22/2020 Ben Heller RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Oct 9
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1, 2021

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/9/2020 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 33-27 overall record this season. Tanaka (78-46 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.95 while he has faced 4,299 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.74 (438 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.129. He has allowed 983 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 208 free passes. Tanaka has pitched in 1,055 innings and has earned 991 K's during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 213 hitters and walked 93 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 455 base hits and 242 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 528. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Yankees hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .364 with an on-base percentage of .421. He has 71 hits this season in 195 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .590 and an OPS+ of 177. Aaron Judge is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 101 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .554. The Yankees have 473 hits, including 87 doubles and 94 home runs. New York has walked 251 times so far this season and they have struck out 480 times as a unit. They have left 399 men on base and have a team OPS of .789. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 315 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 35-25 overall mark this year. Carrasco (88-73 career mark) has earned a 3.77 ERA and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 4.07 and he has faced 5,115 opposing hitters during his MLB career. During his pro baseball career, Carrasco has surrendered 1,165 base knocks while accumulating 1,305 strikeouts in 1,242 innings. He has surrendered 520 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.196 and a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 154 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 220 batters and walked 63 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.29. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 440 base knocks and 196 earned runs this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 157 hitters and struck out 621 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 3.55.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 23rd in the league. The Indians hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.4 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .335. He has 61 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 236 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 102. Carlos Santana is hitting .199 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 41 hits in 206 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .350. The Indians as a unit have 446 base hits, including 96 doubles and 59 homers. Cleveland has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out on 517 occasions. They have had 404 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They have scored 4.13 runs per game and totaled 248 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees (-126)

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