New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, September 21, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: RSN/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-115) Blue Jays (+105)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Toronto Blue Jays (27-26, 3rd in AL East) play the New York Yankees (31-22, 2nd in AL East) at Sahlen Field on Monday. The Yankees open this game at -115 while the Blue Jays are coming in at +105. The O/U is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Mike King and Matt Shoemaker.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/20/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/19/2020 Rafael Dolis RP Knee Probable for Sep 20
9/18/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/17/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Out for the season
9/16/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Out for the season
9/16/2020 Ken Giles RP Forearm Out for the season
9/15/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/15/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/11/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/9/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 31-22 overall record this season. King has pitched in 26 innings and has earned 21 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 6.23 (18 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.423. He has surrendered 27 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 10 walks. King (1-1 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.47 while he has gone up against 116 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the bullpen and they've struck out 186 hitters and walked 80 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 375 base hits and 194 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 145 batters and struck out 459. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .250, good for 12th in the league. The Yankees hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Gio Urshela is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 35 hits this season in 124 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 134. Aaron Judge is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 20 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 78 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .628. The Yankees have 413 hits, including 74 doubles and 90 home runs. New York has walked 213 times so far this season and they have struck out 419 times as a unit. They have left 346 men on base and have a team OPS of .808. They score 5.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 280 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his career, Shoemaker has surrendered 562 hits while he has totaled 539 K's in 599 frames. He has given up 257 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.180 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His SO/W ratio is 3.72 and he has faced 2,465 hitters so far in his career. Shoemaker (43-33 career record) holds a 3.86 ERA while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 221 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 241 batters and walked 128 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 450 base knocks and 237 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 222 hitters and struck out 460 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.49 while their FIP as a staff is 4.95.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 13th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr comes into this matchup batting .242 with an OBP of .318. He has 46 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 190 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .416 with an OPS+ of 101. Travis Shaw is hitting .233 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 34 hits in 146 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .397. The Blue Jays as a unit have 437 base hits, including 88 doubles and 75 homers. Toronto has walked 183 times this year and they have struck out on 433 occasions. They have had 345 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 246 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees (-115)

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