New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/24/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: RSN/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-220) Blue Jays (+190)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Toronto Blue Jays (28-27, 3rd in AL East) host the New York Yankees (32-23, 2nd in AL East) at Sahlen Field on Thursday. The Yankees open this game at -220 while the Blue Jays are priced at +190. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Jordan Montgomery and Hyun Jin Ryu.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/22/2020 Ben Heller RP Biceps Out for the season
9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/23/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/22/2020 Travis Shaw 3B Back Probable for Sep 23
9/22/2020 Julian Merryweather RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Rafael Dolis RP Knee Probable for Sep 23
9/21/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/21/2020 Ken Giles RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Out for the season
9/16/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Out for the season
9/15/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/9/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 32-23 overall record this season. Montgomery has thrown 225 innings and has earned 211 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.12 (103 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.271. He has conceded 214 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 72 free passes. Montgomery (13-9 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.12 while he has gone up against 955 batters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .200 against the bullpen and they've struck out 196 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, New York allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 407 base hits and 215 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 153 batters and struck out 484. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .250, good for 13th in the league. The Yankees hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 24 hits this season in 87 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .609 and an OPS+ of 153. Luke Voit is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 53 hits and he has driven in 49 men in 193 at bats. His OPS+ is 159 while his slugging percentage is at .627. The Yankees have 439 hits, including 81 doubles and 91 home runs. New York has walked 225 times so far this season and they have struck out 442 times as a unit. They have left 362 men on base and have a team OPS of .803. They score 5.44 runs per contest and have scored a total of 299 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 28-27 overall mark this year. Thus far in his career, Ryu has given up 753 base hits while he has tallied 733 strikeouts in 800 innings. He has given up a total of 265 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.165 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a SO/W ratio of 4.09 and he has faced 3,273 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Ryu (58-35 record in his career) is the owner of a 2.98 ERA and has conceded 8.5 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 236 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 253 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 479 base knocks and 255 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 234 hitters and struck out 485 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.49 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 12th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .324. He has 50 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 200 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .435 with an OPS+ of 108. Bo Bichette is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .318. He has collected 32 hits in 107 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .523. The Blue Jays as a unit have 463 base hits, including 94 doubles and 79 homers. Toronto has walked 191 times this year and they have struck out on 465 occasions. They have had 360 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 264 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays (+190)

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