Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-127) Red Sox (+117)

Xander Bogaerts and the Boston Red Sox (6-17, 5th in AL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (8-9, 3rd in NL East) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The Red Sox open this contest at +117 while the Phillies are coming in at -127. The total has been set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jake Arrieta and Kyle Hart.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/16/2020 Roman Quinn CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/16/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Probable for Aug 18
8/16/2020 Jean Segura 3B Hamstring Probable for Aug 18
8/14/2020 Spencer Howard SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/13/2020 Adam Haseley CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/11/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/11/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

8/17/2020 Christian Vazquez C Heel Probable for Aug 18
8/16/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/13/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 8-9 overall record this season. Arrieta has taken the ball for 1,485 innings and has 1,332 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.72 (614 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.211. He has conceded 1,285 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 513 free passes. Arrieta (107-77 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.90 while he has gone up against 6,157 opposing batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 8.77 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .317 against the bullpen and they've struck out 52 hitters and walked 19 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.46. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 166 base hits and 88 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 41 batters and struck out 146. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.61.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .261, good for 4th in the league. The Phillies hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Didi Gregorius is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .323. He has 18 hits this season in 61 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .475 and an OPS+ of 115. J.T. Realmuto is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 60 at bats. His OPS+ is 183 while his slugging percentage is at .717. The Phillies have 144 hits, including 25 doubles and 25 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 66 times so far this season and they have struck out 117 times as a unit. They have left 117 men on base and have a team OPS of .803. They score 5.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 90 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 6-17 overall mark this year. Hart (0-1 mark) is the owner of a 22.50 earned run average while surrendering 31.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.33 and he has gone up against 17 opposing batters. Hart has given up 7 hits while he has tallied 4 strikeouts in 2 frames. He has allowed 5 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 5.000 and a FIP of 16.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 118 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 119 batters and walked 50 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.06. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 228 base knocks and 134 earned runs this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 97 hitters and struck out 191 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.63 while their FIP as a staff is 5.32.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 10th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .329. He has 19 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 74 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .473 with an OPS+ of 112. J.D. Martinez is hitting .238 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 20 hits in 84 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .405. The Red Sox as a unit have 197 base hits, including 43 doubles and 27 homers. Boston has walked 59 times this year and they have struck out on 209 occasions. They have had 149 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 98 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox (+117)

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