Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: SUN/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (+155) Rays (-180)

Tropicana Field is the venue where Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (38-20, 1st in AL East) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (28-30, 3rd in NL East) on Sunday. The Phillies open this matchup at +155 while the Rays are coming in at -180. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Josh Fleming.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/23/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jake Arrieta SP Hamstring Out for the season
9/16/2020 Kyle Garlick RF Oblique Out for the season
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/26/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/26/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Out for the season
9/26/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Out for the season
9/20/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Out for the season
9/18/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 28-30 overall record this season. Nola (58-39 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.46 and he has gone up against 3,446 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.46 (322 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.159. He has given up 717 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 255 free passes. Nola has taken the mound for 838 innings and is sitting with 916 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.17 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .280 against the bullpen and they've struck out 196 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 534 base hits and 275 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 177 batters and struck out 511. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.48.

Related: How to Bet Parlays

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .257, good for 9th in the league. The Phillies hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Jean Segura is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 49 hits this season in 184 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .429 and an OPS+ of 109. Bryce Harper is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .417. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 183 at bats. His OPS+ is 157 while his slugging percentage is at .546. The Phillies have 482 hits, including 88 doubles and 81 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 227 times so far this season and they have struck out 467 times as a unit. They have left 405 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 303 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 38-20 overall mark this year. So far in his career, Fleming has conceded 24 base knocks while tallying 20 punchouts in 26 innings. He has allowed a total of 10 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.149 and having a FIP of 5.0. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.33 and he has gone up against 107 hitters during his career. Fleming (4-0 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.45 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 255 batters and walked 86 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 457 base knocks and 207 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 166 hitters and struck out 539 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.97.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 21st in the league. The Rays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Kevin Kiermaier comes into this matchup batting .224 with an OBP of .329. He has 30 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 134 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .373 with an OPS+ of 97. Yoshi Tsutsugo is hitting .199 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 30 hits in 151 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 97 and a slugging percentage of .404. The Rays as a unit have 454 base hits, including 103 doubles and 80 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 235 times this year and they have struck out on 587 occasions. They have had 402 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They have scored 4.83 runs per game and totaled 280 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Rays (-180) and over 9.5 runs

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