Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MAS2/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-135) Nationals (+125)

Trea Turner and the Washington Nationals (21-32, 5th in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (27-27, 3rd in NL East) at Nationals Park on Wednesday. The Phillies open this matchup at -135 while the Nationals are priced at +125. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Zach Eflin and Erick Fedde.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/22/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/22/2020 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jake Arrieta SP Hamstring Out for the season
9/16/2020 Kyle Garlick RF Oblique Out for the season
9/14/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/22/2020 Aaron Barrett RP Triceps Out for the season
9/22/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/22/2020 James Bourque RP Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Carter Kieboom 3B Hand Probable for Sep 22
9/21/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
9/20/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/19/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 27-27 overall record this season. Eflin (28-33 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.69 while he has gone up against 2,011 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.68 (243 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.344. He has allowed 501 hits (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 127 free passes. Eflin has taken the hill for 467 innings and has racked up 379 strikeouts so far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.11 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .284 against the bullpen and they've struck out 183 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 504 base hits and 256 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 167 batters and struck out 476. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .256, good for 8th in the league. The Phillies hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .240 with an on-base percentage of .316. He has 46 hits this season in 192 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .396 and an OPS+ of 91. Didi Gregorius is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 55 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 191 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Phillies have 447 hits, including 83 doubles and 74 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 212 times so far this season and they have struck out 432 times as a unit. They have left 378 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 279 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

In his MLB career, Fedde has surrendered 203 hits while he has earned 125 punchouts in 187 frames. He has allowed a total of 107 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.535 and a FIP of 5.5. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.49 and he has faced 822 batters in his pro baseball career. Fedde (8-10 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.15 ERA and has given up 9.8 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 177 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 207 batters and walked 97 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.07. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 484 base knocks and 252 earned runs this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 194 hitters and struck out 457 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Trea Turner comes into this matchup batting .335 with an OBP of .391. He has 71 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 212 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .575 with an OPS+ of 154. Juan Soto is hitting .348 this season and he has an OBP of .477. He has collected 48 hits in 138 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 203 and a slugging percentage of .674. The Nationals as a unit have 465 base hits, including 97 doubles and 58 homers. Washington has walked 167 times this year and they have struck out on 395 occasions. They have had 364 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 251 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (+125)

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