Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/14/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, September 14, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ATPT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+151) Reds (-164)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Jesse Winker and the Cincinnati Reds (20-26, 4th in NL Central) will play the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-29, 5th in NL Central) on Monday. The Pirates open this matchup at +151 while the Reds are priced at -164. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Trevor Bauer.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/11/2020 Tyler Bashlor RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/9/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/6/2020 Anthony Alford CF Elbow Out for the season
9/5/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/2/2020 Mitch Keller SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/11/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season
8/6/2020 Michael Feliz RP Forearm Out for the season
7/23/2020 Luke Maile C Finger Out for the season
6/30/2020 Kevin Kramer RF Hip Out for the season
6/30/2020 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
2/13/2020 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/13/2020 Jesse Winker DH Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/13/2020 Sonny Gray SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/11/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/11/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/11/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/8/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 14-29 overall record this season. Keller has taken the mound for 55 frames and has tallied 68 K's during his career. His earned run average is 6.68 (41 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.793. He has allowed 79 hits (12.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 20 walks. Keller (2-6 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.76 and he has gone up against 258 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .200 against the bullpen and they've struck out 203 hitters and walked 94 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 353 base hits and 205 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 185 batters and struck out 381. They have walked 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.06.

Related: How to Bet Parlays

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .223, good for 28th in the league. The Pirates hold a .352 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Bryan Reynolds is hitting .180 with an on-base percentage of .278. He has 24 hits this season in 133 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .338 and an OPS+ of 66. Adam Frazier is hitting .237 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .300. He has totaled 37 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 156 at bats. His OPS+ is 76 while his slugging percentage is at .353. The Pirates have 317 hits, including 55 doubles and 39 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 122 times so far this season and they have struck out 375 times as a unit. They have left 255 men on base and have a team OPS of .638. They score 3.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 167 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 20-26 overall mark this year. Bauer (74-63 career mark) has earned a 3.94 earned run average and has conceded 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.78 and he has gone up against 4,950 hitters in his MLB career. In his pro baseball career, Bauer has allowed 1,038 base hits while earning 1,250 K's in 1,168 innings pitched. He has conceded 512 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.274 and having a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.15 and they have given up 122 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 180 batters and walked 76 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.9 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 317 base knocks and 179 earned runs this season. They have given up 55 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 172 hitters and struck out 461 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .209, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.4 hits per contest. Jesse Winker comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .400. He has 34 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 123 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .569 with an OPS+ of 149. Joey Votto is hitting .220 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 31 hits in 141 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Reds as a unit have 294 base hits, including 58 doubles and 66 homers. Cincinnati has walked 180 times this year and they have struck out on 393 occasions. They have had 284 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They have scored 3.76 runs per game and totaled 173 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Reds (-164) and over the total runs

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