Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Indians Prediction, 9/26/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Indians

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2020

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: ATPT/STOh

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+188) Indians (-205)

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Indians (33-24, 3rd in AL Central) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-39, 5th in NL Central) at Progressive Field on Saturday. The Pirates open this game at +188 while the Indians are priced at -205. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Aaron Civale.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/25/2020 Kyle Crick RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Cole Tucker CF Concussion Out for the season
9/23/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jason Martin CF Back Out for the season
9/21/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/21/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tyler Bashlor RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/20/2020 Kevin Newman SS Knee Out for the season
9/6/2020 Anthony Alford CF Elbow Out for the season
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season
8/6/2020 Michael Feliz RP Forearm Out for the season
7/23/2020 Luke Maile C Finger Out for the season
6/30/2020 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
6/30/2020 Kevin Kramer RF Hip Out for the season
2/13/2020 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/9/2020 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 18-39 overall record this season. Musgrove (28-38 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.97 while he has faced 2,064 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.40 (239 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.243. He has conceded 487 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 121 walks. Musgrove has taken the ball for 489 frames and is sitting with 455 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the bullpen and they've struck out 254 hitters and walked 113 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 432 base hits and 255 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 235 batters and struck out 514. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .218, good for 28th in the league. The Pirates hold a .349 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .282, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.0 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .223 with an on-base percentage of .300. He has 41 hits this season in 184 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .370 and an OPS+ of 82. Adam Frazier is hitting .224 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .293. He has totaled 44 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 196 at bats. His OPS+ is 76 while his slugging percentage is at .352. The Pirates have 397 hits, including 68 doubles and 53 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 159 times so far this season and they have struck out 488 times as a unit. They have left 326 men on base and have a team OPS of .631. They score 3.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 202 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 33-24 overall mark this year. Civale (7-9 career mark) has earned a 3.25 ERA while conceding 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.47 and he has faced 517 batters in his pro baseball career. During his MLB career, Civale has conceded 116 base hits while he has totaled 111 punchouts in 127 innings pitched. He has conceded 46 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.164 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 201 batters and walked 58 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.2. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 412 base knocks and 181 earned runs this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 149 hitters and struck out 588 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.49.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 23rd in the league. The Indians hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.5 hits per contest. Jose Ramirez comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .384. He has 61 hits this year along with 46 RBI in 209 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .608 with an OPS+ of 163. Franmil Reyes is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 56 hits in 202 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .446. The Indians as a unit have 426 base hits, including 88 doubles and 57 homers. Cleveland has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out on 495 occasions. They have had 385 men left on base and have an OPS of .688. They have scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 236 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians (-205)

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