San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/6/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2020
Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
Odds/Point Spread: Padres (+140) Dodgers (-150)
Dodger Stadium is the venue where Justin Turner and the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) will take on the San Diego Padres (37-23, 2nd in NL West) on Tuesday in Game 1 of the NLDS. The Dodgers open this matchup at -150 while the Padres are priced at +140. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Zach Davies and Walker Buehler.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
10/3/2020 Jason Castro C Jaw Out for the season
9/30/2020 Javy Guerra RP Personal Out for the season
9/27/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/23/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Out for the season
9/22/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
10/5/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres had a 37-23 overall record this season. Davies (50-36 career mark) has a FIP of 4.21 while he has faced 2,866 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.79 (288 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.275. He has allowed 673 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 199 free passes. Davies has pitched in 684 innings and has tallied 497 K's so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 261 hitters and walked 92 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 456 base hits and 223 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 170 batters and struck out 565. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
Related: How to Bet Parlays
As a team San Diego is hitting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Padres hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 68 hits this season in 224 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .580 and an OPS+ of 158. Fernando Tatis Jr is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 62 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 224 at bats. His OPS+ is 155 while his slugging percentage is at .571. The Padres have 506 hits, including 103 doubles and 95 home runs. San Diego has walked 204 times so far this season and they have struck out 479 times as a unit. They have left 363 men on base and have a team OPS of .798. They score 5.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 325 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 43-17 overall mark this year. Buehler (24-9 career record) has earned a 3.15 ERA and has surrendered 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 4.52 and he has gone up against 1,469 opposing hitters in his MLB career. In his MLB career, Buehler has surrendered 283 base knocks while he has totaled 420 K's in 365 innings. He has given up a total of 128 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.030 and a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 258 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 424 base knocks and 181 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 145 hitters and struck out 517 batters. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.06 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Justin Turner comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .400. He has 46 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 150 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .460 with an OPS+ of 135. Mookie Betts is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 64 hits in 219 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .562. The Dodgers as a unit have 523 base hits, including 97 doubles and 118 homers. Los Angeles has walked 228 times this year and they have struck out on 471 occasions. They have had 391 men left on base and have an OPS of .821. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 349 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Dodgers (-150) and over 8 runs
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