Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/25/2020
Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros
Date: Saturday, July 25, 2020
Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX
Odds/Point Spread: Mariners (+215) Astros (-260)
The Seattle Mariners head to Minute Maid Park on Saturday to take on the Houston Astros. The expected starting pitchers are Taijuan Walker for the Mariners and Lance McCullers Jr. for the Astros.
The odds for this matchup have Seattle at +215 and Houston at -260. The Mariners had a 87-69-6 over/under mark and a 68-94-0 run line record last year. The Astros were 117-61-0 against the run line and had a 79-91-8 over/under record.
Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners were 87-69-6 against the over/under last year
The Seattle Mariners were 68-94-0 against the run line last season
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros were 79-91-8 against the over/under last year
The Houston Astros were 117-61-0 against the run line last season
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
7/23/2020 Austin Adams RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/23/2020 Tom Murphy C Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
7/23/2020 Gerson Bautista RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/23/2020 Sam Haggerty 2B Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/16/2020 Julio Rodriguez RF Wrist Out for the season
7/15/2020 Yoshihisa Hirano RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/28/2020 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/23/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 Jose Urquidy SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/23/2020 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/23/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/19/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Not Injury Related Probable for Jul 24
7/13/2020 Cionel Perez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/13/2020 Shawn Dubin SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/13/2020 Ralph Garza RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/1/2020 Kent Emanuel SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mariners had a 68-94 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Taijuan Walker only pitched 1 inning last year so he's going to be rusty. Expect a short outing from him as he ramps up his pitch count. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.77 and they gave up 633 base hits on the year. Teams hit .236 against the bullpen and they struck out 666 hitters while walking 289 batters. As a team, Seattle allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They were 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.99. The Mariners pitchers collectively gave up 1,484 base hits and 798 earned runs last year. They allowed 260 home runs last season, ranking them 4th in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff walked 505 batters and struck out 1,239. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit was 5.00.
As a team Seattle hit .237, good for 29th in the league. The Mariners held a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which was good for 21st in baseball. They ranked 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Mallex Smith hit .227 with an on-base percentage of .300 last year. He had 116 hits last season in 510 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .335 and an OPS+ of 74. Kyle Seager hit .239 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .321. He totaled 94 hits and he drove in 63 men in 393 at bats. His OPS+ was 112 while his slugging percentage was at .468. The Mariners had 1,305 hits last season, including 254 doubles and 239 home runs. Seattle walked 588 times last year and they struck out 1,581 times as a unit. They left 1,080 men on base and had a team OPS of .740. They scored 4.68 runs per contest and scored a total of 758 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Houston had a 107-55 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 0.00, Lance McCullers Jr has not pitched since 2018 so don't expect him to go into the late innings. It may be a bullpen day for the Astros. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.75 and they gave up 470 base hits on the year. Teams hit .224 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers struck out 608 batters and walked 197 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They were 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers as a team surrendered 1,205 base knocks and 595 earned runs last season. They gave up 230 home runs last year, which ranked 12th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff walked 448 hitters and struck out 1,671 batters. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.13 while their FIP as a staff was 3.98.
As a team, they batted .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros held a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. George Springer comes into this matchup after batting .292 with an OBP of .383 last season. He had 140 hits last year along with 96 RBI in 479 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .591 with an OPS+ of 150. Alex Bregman hit .296 last season and he had an OBP of .423. He collected 164 hits in 554 at bats while driving in 112 runs. He had an OPS+ of 162 and a slugging percentage of .592. The Astros as a unit had 1,538 base hits last season, including 323 doubles and 288 homers. Houston walked 645 times last year and they struck out on 1,166 occasions. They left 1,168 men on base and had an OPS of .848. They scored 5.68 runs per game and totaled 920 runs last year.
Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners (+215)
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