Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: RTNW/FSSD

Odds/Point Spread: Mariners (+179) Padres (-195)

Tim Lopes and the Seattle Mariners (11-19, 4th in AL West) are headed to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (18-12, 2nd in NL West). The Padres open this matchup at -195 while the Mariners are priced at +179. The total opens at 8. The starting pitchers will be Marco Gonzales and Chris Paddack.

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

8/24/2020 Carl Edwards RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/23/2020 Austin Adams RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/22/2020 Dylan Moore RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/21/2020 Taylor Guilbeau RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/20/2020 Erik Swanson RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/18/2020 Tom Murphy C Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/16/2020 Kendall Graveman SP Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/15/2020 Nestor Cortes RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/1/2020 Brandon Brennan RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
7/23/2020 Gerson Bautista RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

8/21/2020 Drew Pomeranz RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/17/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Tommy Pham LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/17/2020 Francisco Mejia C Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/8/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Out for the season
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/29/2020 Andres Munoz RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 11-19 overall record this season. Gonzales (36-27 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 2,026 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.20 (222 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.317. He has given up 503 base knocks (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has 124 walks. Gonzales has pitched in 476 innings and has racked up 382 strikeouts during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.72 and they have given up 99 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the bullpen and they've struck out 115 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.29. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 229 base hits and 153 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 114 batters and struck out 249. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .224, good for 25th in the league. The Mariners hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Tim Lopes is hitting .238 with an on-base percentage of .281. He has 20 hits this season in 84 at bats with 6 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .345 and an OPS+ of 76. Kyle Seager is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 30 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 103 at bats. His OPS+ is 149 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Mariners have 221 hits, including 44 doubles and 32 home runs. Seattle has walked 99 times so far this season and they have struck out 267 times as a unit. They have left 191 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 124 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 18-12 overall mark this year. Paddack (11-9 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.50 ERA and has conceded 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His SO/W ratio is 4.86 and he has gone up against 696 hitters during his career. In his MLB career, Paddack has given up 137 base knocks while earning 180 punchouts in 172 innings. He has given up a total of 67 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.011 and a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.45 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 116 batters and walked 51 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 231 base knocks and 128 earned runs this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 93 hitters and struck out 261 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 16th in the league. The Padres hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .315. He has 17 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 67 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .537 with an OPS+ of 131. Manny Machado is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 29 hits in 113 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .531. The Padres as a unit have 243 base hits, including 44 doubles and 55 homers. San Diego has walked 115 times this year and they have struck out on 252 occasions. They have had 181 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.43 runs per game and totaled 163 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Padres (-195)

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