St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FSN/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (-102) Twins (-108)

The St. Louis Cardinals visit Target Field on Tuesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Carlos Martinez for the Cardinals and Homer Bailey for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -102 and Minnesota at -108. The Cardinals had a 74-88-9 over/under record and a 94-77-0 run line mark last season. The Twins were 101-64-0 against the run line and had a 82-76-7 over/under record.

Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals were 74-88-9 against the over/under last year

The St. Louis Cardinals were 94-77-0 against the run line last season

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins were 82-76-7 against the over/under last year

The Minnesota Twins were 101-64-0 against the run line last season

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

7/26/2020 Alex Reyes RP Illness Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Ricardo Sanchez SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/26/2020 Elehuris Montero 3B Illness Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Genesis Cabrera RP Illness Probable for Jul 26
7/23/2020 Giovanny Gallegos RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/23/2020 Brad Miller 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
6/28/2020 John Brebbia RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

7/25/2020 Nick Gordon SS Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/25/2020 Byron Buxton CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/22/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/3/2020 Michael Pineda SP Suspension Suspended until Sep 8
6/25/2020 Fernando Romero RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals had a 91-71 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Carlos Martinez had a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.18. He had 53 strikeouts over his 48.1 innings pitched and he gave up 39 hits. He allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 2.86. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.88 and they gave up 450 base hits on the year. Teams hit .217 against the bullpen while striking out 607 hitters and walking 235 batters. As a team, St. Louis allowed 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They were 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.8. The Cardinals pitchers collectively gave up 1,284 base hits and 609 earned runs last year. They allowed 191 home runs last season, ranking them 28th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff walked 545 batters and struck out 1,399. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit was 4.27.

Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis hit .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Cardinals held a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which was good for 17th in baseball. They ranked 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Yadier Molina hit .270 with an on-base percentage of .312 last year. He had 113 hits last season in 419 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .399 and an OPS+ of 85. Paul DeJong hit .233 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .318. He totaled 136 hits and he drove in 78 men in 583 at bats. His OPS+ was 97 while his slugging percentage was at .444. The Cardinals had 1,337 hits last season, including 246 doubles and 210 home runs. St. Louis walked 561 times last year and they struck out 1,420 times as a unit. They left 1,107 men on base and had a team OPS of .737. They scored 4.72 runs per contest and scored a total of 764 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota had a 101-61 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 4.57, Homer Bailey had a 13-9 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He had 149 strikeouts over the 163.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 162 hits. He allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.11. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.17 and they gave up 572 base hits on the year. Teams hit .253 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers struck out 619 batters and walked 185 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They were 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Twins pitchers as a team surrendered 1,456 base knocks and 680 earned runs last season. They gave up 198 home runs last year, which ranked 26th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff walked 452 hitters and struck out 1,463 batters. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.30 while their FIP as a staff was 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins held a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which was good for 5th in baseball. They ranked 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup after batting .259 with an OBP of .379 last season. He had 142 hits last year along with 94 RBI in 549 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .521 with an OPS+ of 127. Miguel Sano hit .247 last season and he had an OBP of .346. He collected 94 hits in 380 at bats while driving in 79 runs. He had an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .576. The Twins as a unit had 1,547 base hits last season, including 318 doubles and 307 homers. Minnesota walked 525 times last year and they struck out on 1,334 occasions. They left 1,115 men on base and had an OPS of .832. They scored 5.8 runs per game and totaled 939 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (-108)

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