St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 10/1/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, October 1, 2020

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (+154) Padres (-167)

Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals (30-28, 2nd in NL Central) head to Petco Park on Thursday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (37-23, 2nd in NL West) in Game 2 of their NL Wild Card series. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cardinals priced at +154 and the Padres are at -167. The O/U is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Adam Wainwright and Zach Davies.

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

9/27/2020 Dakota Hudson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
9/26/2020 Carlos Martinez SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/25/2020 John Gant RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Oct 5
8/31/2020 Ricardo Sanchez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/11/2020 Miles Mikolas SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
6/28/2020 John Brebbia RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2021

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/29/2020 Mike Clevinger SP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Jason Castro C Jaw Out for the season
9/27/2020 Javy Guerra RP Personal Expected to be out until at least Oct 5
9/27/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Luis Campusano DH Wrist Expected to be out until at least Oct 5
9/26/2020 Dinelson Lamet SP Biceps Out for the season
9/23/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Out for the season
9/22/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals have a 30-28 overall record this season. Wainwright (167-98 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.47 and he has faced 9,001 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.38 (815 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.225. He has surrendered 2,066 base knocks (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 591 free passes. Wainwright has pitched in 2,168 innings and has accounted for 1,830 punchouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 148 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .180 against the bullpen and they've struck out 206 hitters and walked 97 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 376 base hits and 205 earned runs. They have allowed 69 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 204 batters and struck out 464. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.58.

Related: How to Bet Parlays

Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis is hitting .234, good for 22nd in the league. The Cardinals hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.1 hits per game. Paul DeJong is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 38 hits this season in 152 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .349 and an OPS+ of 84. Matt Carpenter is hitting .186 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 24 men in 140 at bats. His OPS+ is 77 while his slugging percentage is at .314. The Cardinals have 410 hits, including 73 doubles and 51 home runs. St. Louis has walked 205 times so far this season and they have struck out 477 times as a unit. They have left 358 men on base and have a team OPS of .694. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 240 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 37-23 overall mark this year. Davies (50-36 career record) has a 3.79 ERA and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 2,866 batters during his pro baseball career. During his career, Davies has surrendered 673 hits while he has earned 497 strikeouts in 684 frames. He has given up 288 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 261 batters and walked 92 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 456 base knocks and 223 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 565 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Padres hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Mitch Moreland comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .342. He has 36 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 136 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .551 with an OPS+ of 139. Manny Machado is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 68 hits in 224 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .580. The Padres as a unit have 506 base hits, including 103 doubles and 95 homers. San Diego has walked 204 times this year and they have struck out on 479 occasions. They have had 363 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They have scored 5.42 runs per game and totaled 325 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Padres (-167) and over 8.5 runs

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