Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/30/2020

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, July 30, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: SUN/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (+115) Braves (-133)

Truist Park is the venue where Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (2-3, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (4-1, 1st in AL East) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays priced at +115 and the Braves are at -133. The total opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Yarbrough and Max Fried.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

7/29/2020 Austin Meadows RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/28/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Shoulder Probable for Jul 29
7/23/2020 Randy Arozarena CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/29/2020 Pete Kozma SS Illness Probable for Jul 29
7/29/2020 Mark Melancon RP Back Probable for Jul 29
7/28/2020 Scott Schebler LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/26/2020 Will Smith RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

Yarbrough has taken the hill for 294 innings and has tallied 246 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.95 (129 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.142. He has conceded 265 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 71 walks. Yarbrough (27-12 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.88 while he has faced 1,212 batters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.70 and they have given up 21 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the bullpen and they've struck out 35 hitters and walked 7 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.3 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 2.93. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 40 base hits and 15 earned runs. They have allowed 4 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 15 batters and struck out 58. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 11.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 2.62.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .236, good for 16th in the league. The Rays hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Willy Adames is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .467. He has 4 hits this season in 12 at bats with 2 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 174. Brandon Lowe is hitting .412 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .500. He has totaled 7 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 17 at bats. His OPS+ is 265 while his slugging percentage is at .824. The Rays have 38 hits, including 10 doubles and 7 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 27 times so far this season and they have struck out 43 times as a unit. They have left 31 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 6.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 33 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his career, Fried has given up 232 base hits while he has earned 244 K's in 230 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 98 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.360 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and he has faced 985 opposing hitters so far in his career. Fried (19-11 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.83 ERA and has surrendered 9.1 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 24 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 26 batters and walked 3 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 41 base knocks and 23 earned runs this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 14 hitters and struck out 41 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.26.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .216, good for 20th in the league. The Braves hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .274, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Dansby Swanson comes into this matchup batting .368 with an OBP of .368. He has 7 hits this year along with 7 RBI in 19 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .737 with an OPS+ of 209. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 5 hits in 18 at bats while driving in 4 runs. He has an OPS+ of 200 and a slugging percentage of .722. The Braves as a unit have 38 base hits, including 10 doubles and 8 homers. Atlanta has walked 14 times this year and they have struck out on 64 occasions. They have had 26 men left on base and have an OPS of .683. They have scored 5.2 runs per game and totaled 26 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays (+115)

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