Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MAS2/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-201) Orioles (+184)

Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (33-18, 1st in AL East) travel to Oriole Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (22-29, 4th in AL East). The Rays open this matchup at -201 while the Orioles are coming in at +184. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Jorge Lopez.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/17/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Probable for Sep 18
9/16/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Out for the season
9/13/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/11/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/16/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/14/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 33-18 overall record this season. Morton has pitched in 1,430 innings and has racked up 1,262 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.09 (649 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.332. He has given up 1,390 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 515 free passes. Morton (92-89 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.87 while going up against 6,155 opposing hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 210 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 229 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 414 base hits and 189 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 462. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .241, good for 19th in the league. The Rays hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .242 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 29 hits this season in 120 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .408 and an OPS+ of 109. Willy Adames is hitting .266 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 42 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 158 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .481. The Rays have 406 hits, including 97 doubles and 70 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 215 times so far this season and they have struck out 503 times as a unit. They have left 356 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 5.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 256 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

In his career, Lopez has surrendered 247 base knocks while he has totaled 179 strikeouts in 221 innings. He has allowed 144 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.480 and a FIP of 5.0. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.24 and he has faced 975 hitters in his pro baseball career. Lopez (9-15 career win-loss mark) has earned a 5.86 earned run average while surrendering 10.1 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 211 batters and walked 96 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 413 base knocks and 221 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 167 hitters and struck out 403 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.73.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Orioles hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Rio Ruiz comes into this matchup batting .220 with an OBP of .298. He has 33 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 150 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .433 with an OPS+ of 95. Hanser Alberto is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 54 hits in 188 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .404. The Orioles as a unit have 440 base hits, including 86 doubles and 68 homers. Baltimore has walked 143 times this year and they have struck out on 435 occasions. They have had 333 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 239 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays (-201)

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