Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/14/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-110) Astros (+100)

Minute Maid Park is the site where Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros (29-31, 2nd in AL West) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (40-20, 1st in AL East) on Wednesday in Game 4 of the ALCS. The odds on this matchup have the Rays priced at -110 and the Astros are at +100. The O/U opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Tyler Glasnow and Zack Greinke.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

10/11/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Oct 19
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021

Key Houston Astros Injuries

10/11/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Apr 1, 2021
10/7/2020 Brad Peacock RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/30/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/29/2020 Chris Devenski RP Elbow Out for the season
9/29/2020 Justin Verlander SP Elbow Out for the season
9/23/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/23/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays had a 40-20 overall record this season. Glasnow (15-18 career record) has a FIP of 4.10 and he has gone up against 1,346 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.43 (155 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.337. He has allowed 275 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 146 free passes. Glasnow has pitched in 315 innings and is sitting with 383 strikeouts during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the bullpen and they've struck out 263 hitters and walked 87 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 475 base hits and 209 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 552. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .238, good for 21st in the league. The Rays hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .362. He has 52 hits this season in 193 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .554 and an OPS+ of 152. Willy Adames is hitting .259 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 185 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .481. The Rays have 470 hits, including 105 doubles and 80 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 243 times so far this season and they have struck out 608 times as a unit. They have left 416 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 289 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 29-31 overall mark this year. Thus far in his career, Greinke has allowed 2,728 base hits while he has earned 2,689 K's in 2,939 frames. He has surrendered 1,100 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.98 and he has faced 12,002 hitters during his MLB career. Greinke (208-126 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.37 earned run average and has surrendered 8.4 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 225 batters and walked 118 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 472 base knocks and 251 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 217 hitters and struck out 526 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 20th in the league. The Astros hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .219 with an OBP of .286. He has 42 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 192 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .344 with an OPS+ of 71. Alex Bregman is hitting .242 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 37 hits in 153 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .451. The Astros as a unit have 478 base hits, including 103 doubles and 69 homers. Houston has walked 192 times this year and they have struck out on 440 occasions. They have had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They have scored 4.65 runs per game and totaled 279 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Astros (+100)

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