Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2020
Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX
Odds/Point Spread: Rays (+125) Dodgers (-135)
Globe Life Field is the site where Justin Turner and the Los Angeles Dodgers will play the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The Dodgers open this contest at -135 while the Rays are coming in at +125. The O/U opens at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin.
L.A. leads the series 3-2 after pulling out a 4-2 win in Game 5 on Sunday night. Clayton Kershaw got his 2nd win of the series by going 5 2/3 innings and surrending 2 earned runs. He finished with 6 strikeouts and 2 walks. Tyler Glasnow took the loss after giving up 4 earned runs in 5 innings pitched. Max Muncy and Joc Pederson went deep for the Dodgers to provide the offense they needed. They are now 1 win from their first World Series title since 1988.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
10/11/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Oct 19
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
10/6/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays had a 40-20 overall record this season. Snell (42-30 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.53 while facing 2,292 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.24 (200 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.237. He has allowed 456 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 232 walks. Snell has thrown 556 innings and has accumulated 648 punchouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the bullpen and they've struck out 263 hitters and walked 87 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 475 base hits and 209 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 552. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .238, good for 21st in the league. The Rays hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .217 with an on-base percentage of .321. He has 30 hits this season in 138 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .362 and an OPS+ of 91. Brandon Lowe is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 193 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .554. The Rays have 470 hits, including 105 doubles and 80 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 243 times so far this season and they have struck out 608 times as a unit. They have left 416 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 289 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Gonsolin (6-4 career mark) has earned a 2.61 earned run average and has conceded 6.1 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.77 and he has gone up against 339 batters in his career. So far in his MLB career, Gonsolin has allowed 58 hits and he has 83 strikeouts in 86 frames. He has allowed 25 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.928 and a FIP of 3.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 258 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 424 base knocks and 181 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 145 hitters and struck out 517 batters. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.06 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Justin Turner comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .400. He has 46 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 150 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .460 with an OPS+ of 135. Mookie Betts is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 64 hits in 219 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .562. The Dodgers as a unit have 523 base hits, including 97 doubles and 118 homers. Los Angeles has walked 228 times this year and they have struck out on 471 occasions. They have had 391 men left on base and have an OPS of .821. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 349 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays (+125)
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