Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/3/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, September 3, 2020
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
Odds/Point Spread: Blue Jays (-114) Red Sox (+104)
Fenway Park is the site where Jackie Bradley Jr and the Boston Red Sox (12-24, 5th in AL East) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (18-16, 3rd in AL East) on Thursday. The Blue Jays open this contest at -114 while the Red Sox are priced at +104. The over/under is set at 10.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Taijuan Walker and Martin Perez.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
8/31/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/31/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/30/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/28/2020 Bo Bichette SS Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/25/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/24/2020 Ken Giles RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
9/2/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/2/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/1/2020 J.D DH Hand Probable for Sep 2
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/29/2020 Nathan Eovaldi SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 18-16 overall record this season. Walker (34-33 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.29 while he has gone up against 2,380 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.91 (244 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.246. He has allowed 523 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 176 free passes. Walker has taken the hill for 561 innings and has accounted for 507 K's so far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 127 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .190 against the bullpen and they've struck out 172 hitters and walked 76 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 263 base hits and 124 earned runs. They have allowed 37 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 133 batters and struck out 310. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team Toronto is hitting .247, good for 15th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Rowdy Tellez is hitting .247 with an on-base percentage of .316. He has 21 hits this season in 85 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .506 and an OPS+ of 118. Cavan Biggio is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 131 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .458. The Blue Jays have 287 hits, including 56 doubles and 54 home runs. Toronto has walked 115 times so far this season and they have struck out 286 times as a unit. They have left 223 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 160 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Thus far in his career, Perez has conceded 1,070 base knocks while he has tallied 621 K's in 962 innings. He has given up a total of 504 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.478 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.76 and he has faced 4,199 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Perez (55-60 career mark) has a 4.72 ERA while allowing 10.0 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.55 and they have given up 190 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 189 batters and walked 77 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.16. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 368 base knocks and 215 earned runs this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 148 hitters and struck out 307 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.64 while their FIP as a staff is 5.30.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 10th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Jackie Bradley Jr comes into this matchup batting .248 with an OBP of .316. He has 26 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 105 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .352 with an OPS+ of 79. Rafael Devers is hitting .250 this season and he has an OBP of .301. He has collected 34 hits in 136 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .456. The Red Sox as a unit have 318 base hits, including 75 doubles and 43 homers. Boston has walked 102 times this year and they have struck out on 323 occasions. They have had 239 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.58 runs per game and totaled 165 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays (-114)
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