Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: RSN/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Jays (+101) Phillies (-111)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Toronto Blue Jays (26-23, 3rd in AL East) go to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (24-25, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this game at -111 while the Blue Jays are coming in at +101. The total opens at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Hyun Jin Ryu and Vince Velasquez.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/18/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/17/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Out for the season
9/16/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Out for the season
9/16/2020 Ken Giles RP Forearm Out for the season
9/15/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/9/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/18/2020 Jake Arrieta SP Hamstring Out for the season
9/17/2020 J.T C Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/17/2020 Jean Segura 2B Triceps Probable for Sep 18
9/17/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Undisclosed Probable for Sep 18
9/16/2020 Kyle Garlick RF Oblique Out for the season
9/16/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/14/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 26-23 overall record this season. Ryu (58-34 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.38 while going up against 3,248 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.98 (263 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.165. He has surrendered 747 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 178 free passes. Ryu has taken the mound for 794 frames and has earned 725 K's in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.49 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 232 hitters and walked 120 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 423 base hits and 220 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 206 batters and struck out 433. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.97.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .253, good for 12th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .320. He has 45 hits this season in 183 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .426 and an OPS+ of 103. Travis Shaw is hitting .236 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 140 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .386. The Blue Jays have 421 hits, including 85 doubles and 73 home runs. Toronto has walked 174 times so far this season and they have struck out 410 times as a unit. They have left 329 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 238 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 24-25 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Velasquez has conceded 539 base hits while totaling 603 punchouts in 545 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 288 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.381 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.82 and he has faced 2,353 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Velasquez (27-35 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.75 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.17 and they have given up 219 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .291 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 167 batters and walked 74 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 472 base knocks and 239 earned runs this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 149 hitters and struck out 433 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 9th in the league. The Phillies hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Alec Bohm comes into this matchup batting .317 with an OBP of .368. He has 39 hits this year along with 20 RBI in 123 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .496 with an OPS+ of 129. Bryce Harper is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 39 hits in 155 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 142 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Phillies as a unit have 408 base hits, including 77 doubles and 71 homers. Philadelphia has walked 185 times this year and they have struck out on 380 occasions. They have had 337 men left on base and have an OPS of .789. They have scored 5.24 runs per game and totaled 257 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays (+101)

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