Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: MASN/FSFL

Odds/Point Spread: Nationals (-167) Marlins (+154)

Marlins Park is the site where Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (25-23, 2nd in NL East) will play the Washington Nationals (18-29, 5th in NL East) on Saturday. The Marlins open this game at +154 while the Nationals are priced at -167. The total has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Pablo Lopez.

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/17/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/15/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/15/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/15/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
9/9/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/8/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/24/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
8/18/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/17/2020 Jorge Alfaro C Head Probable for Sep 18
9/16/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/16/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/16/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/15/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Jon Berti 2B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Nationals have a 18-29 overall record this season. Scherzer (174-92 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.21 while he has faced 9,521 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.22 (838 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.100. He has given up 1,942 base hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 637 free passes. Scherzer has pitched in 2,345 innings and has earned 2,771 K's in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 192 hitters and walked 90 batters. As a team, Washington allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 442 base hits and 231 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 174 batters and struck out 410. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.52 and their FIP as a unit is 4.96.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Washington is hitting .260, good for 7th in the league. The Nationals hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Victor Robles is hitting .225 with an on-base percentage of .300. He has 32 hits this season in 142 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .303 and an OPS+ of 62. Kurt Suzuki is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 91 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .385. The Nationals have 412 hits, including 85 doubles and 53 home runs. Washington has walked 146 times so far this season and they have struck out 361 times as a unit. They have left 325 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 219 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 25-23 overall mark this year. So far in his career, Lopez has given up 212 base knocks and he has 187 punchouts in 217 frames. He has allowed 111 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.22 and he has gone up against 914 hitters during his MLB career. Lopez (11-16 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.60 earned run average and has given up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.21 and they have given up 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 154 batters and walked 94 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 398 base knocks and 209 earned runs this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 177 hitters and struck out 370 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 5.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 16th in the league. The Marlins hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .360 with an OBP of .452. He has 32 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 89 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .573 with an OPS+ of 179. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 42 hits in 151 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .464. The Marlins as a unit have 379 base hits, including 72 doubles and 47 homers. Miami has walked 157 times this year and they have struck out on 439 occasions. They have had 310 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They have scored 4.46 runs per game and totaled 214 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Nationals/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals (-167)

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